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Kraken at Flames
NHL

Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Seattle Kraken
▸4
Calgary Flames
2
FinalTV NHLN, KHN/Prime·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Calgary Flames 4-2. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. The Kraken led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aydar Suniev's goal at 10:26 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 19% to 52%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 3.2 to 2.3; shots on goal were SEA 23, CGY 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 15 of 16 (.938), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Devin Cooley stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Aydar Suniev (2 G), 2. Logan Morrison (1 G, 1 A), 3. Zayne Parekh.

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    A. Suniev2 G
  2. ★★
    SEA
    L. Morrison1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    Z. Parekh

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA270828423
CGYCGY190718224

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    T. Nelson(2)
    L. Morrison (1), J. Nyman (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:51
  2. SEA
    J. Firkus(1)PPG
    J. Avon (1), O. Fisker Molgaard (2)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    9:23
  3. CGY
    A. Suniev(1)
    S. Honzek (1)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:01

3rd period

  1. CGY
    A. Suniev(2)
    B. Jones (1), A. Wiebe (1)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +33 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:26
  2. SEA
    L. Morrison(2)PPG
    T. Jugnauth (1), J. Avon (2)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +28 ptsVideo
    3-2
    11:59
  3. SEA
    J. Avon(1)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.78win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:44

Penalties

SEA 17 PIM·CGY 26 PIM

1st

  • 2:25SEATyson Jugnauth · Interferencedrawn by Brennan Othmann2 min
  • 5:05SEAJohn Hayden · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Brennan Othmann2 min
  • 5:05CGYBrennan Othmann · Elbowingdrawn by Ville Ottavainen5 min
  • 5:05CGYBrennan Othmann · Fightingdrawn by John Hayden5 min
  • 5:05SEAJohn Hayden · Fightingdrawn by Brennan Othmann5 min
  • 5:05CGYBrennan Othmann · Game misconduct10 min
  • 6:25SEATy Nelson · Slashingdrawn by Tyson Gross2 min

2nd

  • 4:34CGYDryden Hunt · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Winterton2 min
  • 11:46SEACaden Price · Holdingdrawn by William Stromgren2 min

3rd

  • 1:55SEAKaden Hammell · Holdingdrawn by William Stromgren2 min
  • 10:50CGYJoel Hanley · Interferencedrawn by Carson Rehkopf2 min
  • 17:05CGYDevin Cooley · Trippingdrawn by Jani Nyman2 min
  • 18:41SEACarson Rehkopf · Trippingdrawn by Ben Jones2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalSEA goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Aydar Suniev, 3rd 10:26 — CGY 19% → 52%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Gross · On goal · xG 0.19A. Suniev · Goal · xG 0.19A. Suniev · On goal · xG 0.15D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.15J. Castagna · Missed · xG 0.14A. Suniev · On goal · xG 0.14S. Honzek · Missed · xG 0.12R. Kerins · Missed · xG 0.12A. Suniev · Missed · xG 0.10B. Othmann · On goal · xG 0.09A. Basha · On goal · xG 0.09S. Honzek · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Parekh · Missed · xG 0.08J. Castagna · On goal · xG 0.07D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.07R. Kerins · On goal · xG 0.06T. Gross · On goal · xG 0.06W. Stromgren · On goal · xG 0.04M. Gridin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Gridin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.03R. Kerins · Missed · xG 0.03A. Wiebe · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Parekh · On goal · xG 0.02A. Suniev · Goal · xG 0.02D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Basha · Missed · xG 0.01J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.01A. Wiebe · On goal · xG 0.01B. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.01H. Brzustewicz · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY2 G · 2.3 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsCGY
3.23 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.42 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA43%57%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.89 – 2.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsCGY
23
Shots on goal
24
49%
Faceoffs
51%
2/5
Power play
0/6
17
Penalty minutes
26
16
Hits
32
17
Blocked shots
10
16
Giveaways
16
9
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
78O. Fisker MolgaardC011+100.000105820:10
24T. NelsonD101+220.13002—19:56
83T. JugnauthD011-110.13212—19:53
48C. PriceD000-110.03132—19:52
23G. OlofssonD000+130.57130—19:51
26R. WintertonC000000.26000—18:35
46V. OttavainenD000+100.00030—18:01
16J. AvonC123040.90000—17:33
47K. HammellD000-200.00032—17:25
57J. FirkusR101040.43110—16:49
38J. NymanR011+100.14010—16:10
96L. MorrisonC112+110.121005015:03
67M. StephensC000-110.020006714:29
82E. SaleL000-110.05000—13:56
14C. RehkopfL000+120.25102—12:24
15J. HaydenC000-120.064173811:14
90N. VilleneuveC000-100.00200—09:03
42C. DouglasC000-110.10300—08:17
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer16151.9381.59+0.5940:00
39N. Kokko(W)871.8750.68-0.3220:00

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).