Kraken at Flames — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Kraken at Flames

Seattle Kraken(34-37-11)

Calgary Flames(34-39-9)

Thu, Oct 1, 9:00 PM EDTTV Prime Video, KONG·Scotiabank Saddledome

Our win probability

and the three reasons

48%

Kraken

to win

52%

Flames

Expected goals: 2.9–3.1
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CGY
.476vs.481win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors SEA
-.088vs-.1275v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors CGY
-.072vs.016GSAx / 60
Home icefavors CGY
CGY at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Kraken

Philipp Grubauer-0.11 GSAx/60
54% to start449 career GP
Joey Daccord-0.03 GSAx/60
46% to start173 career GP

Flames

Dustin Wolf-0.02 GSAx/60
75% to start128 career GP
Devin Cooley+0.14 GSAx/60
25% to start37 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: SEA Lane Lambert · CGY Ryan Huska

Leaders

vs

J. Eberle
55
Points
M. Coronato
45
B. McMann
29
Goals
M. Frost
22
V. Dunn
33
Assists
M. Coronato
27

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

2.7328th
Goals for / game: 32nd2.54; 3.1323rd
Goals against / game: 21st3.12; 19.5%20th
Power play: 31st16.2%; 72.2%31st
Penalty kill: 12th80.4%; 47.7%27th
Faceoffs: 21st49.3%

Season series

first meeting

Oct 1@this game
Oct 4@
Oct 30@
Nov 4@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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