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Hurricanes at Panthers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
3
Florida Panthers
▸6
FinalTV SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 6-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Panthers led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Reinhardt's goal at 12:10 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.8 to 1.7; shots on goal were CAR 24, FLA 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 2.7 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brady Tkachuk (2 G, 1 A), 2. Cole Reinhardt (2 G), 3. Aleksander Barkov (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    B. Tkachuk2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    C. Reinhardt2 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR182808324
FLAFLA1194916634

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    D. Badinka(1)
    G. Trikozov (1)
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:04
  2. FLA
    B. Tkachuk(1)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (1), A. Barkov (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:02

2nd period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(1)
    B. Tkachuk (1), N. Mikkola (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    2:30
  2. FLA
    C. Reinhardt(1)
    J. Devine (1), R. Gudas (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    4:06
  3. CAR
    J. Robidas(1)PPG
    C. Cerrato (1), F. Unger Sorum (1)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-3
    9:34
  4. CAR
    B. Nadeau(1)
    J. Robidas (1), J. Nystrom (1)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-3
    10:45
  5. FLA
    C. Reinhardt(2)
    N. Mikkola (2)
    tip-inxG 0.03win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-4
    12:10
  6. FLA
    N. Mikkola(1)
    S. Vilmanis (1), E. Luostarinen (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-5
    19:07

3rd period

  1. FLA
    B. Tkachuk(2)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.49win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-6
    17:45

Penalties

CAR 15 PIM·FLA 15 PIM

1st

  • 11:24CARJuuso Välimäki · Interferencedrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
  • 18:37CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Trippingdrawn by Seth Jones2 min

2nd

  • 6:38CARPyotr Kochetkov · Trippingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 8:45FLANiko Mikkola · Hookingdrawn by Justin Robidas2 min
  • 9:26FLAEetu Luostarinen · Cross checkingdrawn by Felix Unger Sorum2 min
  • 10:04CARJuha Jaaska · Trippingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min

3rd

  • 7:42CARCharles Alexis Legault · Fightingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk5 min
  • 7:42FLABrady Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Charles Alexis Legault5 min
  • 8:35FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Juuso Välimäki2 min
  • 8:35CARJuuso Välimäki · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 9:00FLADmitry Kulikov · Trippingdrawn by Justin Robidas2 min
  • 15:13FLAAleksander Barkov · Hookingdrawn by Viktor Neuchev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalCAR goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Cole Reinhardt, 2nd 12:10 — FLA 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.50E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.17B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.16C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.16M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.13M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.11B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.09C. Reinhardt · Missed · xG 0.08A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.08C. Reinhardt · Goal · xG 0.08J. Devine · Missed · xG 0.07A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.06J. Devine · Missed · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.05J. Devine · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04C. Reinhardt · Goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · Goal · xG 0.01S. Vilmanis · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.01J. Devine · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.00G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA6 G · 2.8 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsFLA
1.73 G
All situations
5 G2.8
1.32 G
Even strength
4 G1.5
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR38%62%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.68 – 2.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsFLA
24
Shots on goal
34
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/4
Power play
1/4
15
Penalty minutes
15
13
Hits
27
8
Blocked shots
10
13
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. VälimäkiD000-320.11134—21:43
64J. NystromD011-100.01010—20:15
29B. NadeauL101030.32110—19:49
6M. ReillyD000+120.05100—19:25
46J. RobidasC112-220.340005018:51
67D. BadinkaD101040.06000—18:32
36F. Unger SorumR011-120.20010—18:12
76S. Brind'AmourC000-230.204005617:34
62C. LegaultD000-110.17005—17:06
82J. KotkaniemiC000-100.020024416:15
75N. FransénD000-110.06100—16:04
45C. CerratoC011-100.001103815:47
54J. JaaskaL000-210.08002—14:25
23J. SlavinL000-100.01000—13:46
79V. NeuchevL000010.05000—11:49
49I. RyabkinC000-100.004102011:39
81Z. LansardR000-110.01000—10:46
73G. TrikozovL011010.00000—09:43
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(L)33285.8482.33-2.6759:41

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).