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Maple Leafs at Canadiens
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
3
Montréal Canadiens
▸4
Final/OTTV NHLN, SN1·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3 in overtime, Cole Caufield scoring at 4:22. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Maple Leafs led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Caufield's goal at 4:22 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were TOR 21, MTL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Samuel Hlavaj stopped 13 of 15 (.867); Jacob Fowler stopped 9 of 10 (.900). Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (1 G), 2. Ivan Demidov (1 G), 3. Lane Hutson (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Caufield1 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    I. Demidov1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    L. Hutson1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TORTOR023130501321
MTLMTL213061912430

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    J. Slafkovský(1)
    L. Mittelstadt (1), E. Samson (1)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:27
  2. MTL
    I. Demidov(1)PPG
    L. Hutson (1)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:04

2nd period

  1. TOR
    H. Rybinski(1)PPG
    R. Tverberg (1), B. Brisson (1)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:56
  2. TOR
    C. Sissons(1)PPG
    O. Ekman-Larsson (1), E. Cowan (1)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:32
  3. TOR
    M. Johnstone(1)
    H. Rybinski (1), M. Pezzetta (1)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-2
    16:21

3rd period

  1. MTL
    L. Hutson(1)
    J. Davidson (1), A. Belzile (1)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +25 ptsVideo
    3-3
    2:43

Overtime

  1. MTL
    C. Caufield(1)
    L. Hutson (2), A. Carrier (1)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    4:22

Penalties

TOR 28 PIM·MTL 22 PIM

1st

  • 5:32TORMichael Pezzetta · Instigatordrawn by Lucas Condotta2 min
  • 5:32MTLLucas Condotta · Interferencedrawn by Marc Johnstone2 min
  • 5:32TORMichael Pezzetta · Fightingdrawn by Lucas Condotta5 min
  • 5:32MTLLucas Condotta · Fightingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta5 min
  • 5:32TORMichael Pezzetta · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 10:07TORTeddy Blueger · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Ethan Samson2 min
  • 10:07MTLEthan Samson · Fightingdrawn by Teddy Blueger5 min
  • 10:07TORTeddy Blueger · Fightingdrawn by Ethan Samson5 min
  • 11:19TORserved by Marc Johnstone · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:48MTLOliver Kapanen · Trippingdrawn by Troy Stecher2 min

2nd

  • 1:56MTLSasha Pastujov · High stickingdrawn by Noah Chadwick2 min
  • 6:38MTLAlex Belzile · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Tverberg2 min

3rd

  • 17:06MTLArber Xhekaj · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Brisson2 min
  • 17:06TORBrendan Brisson · Roughingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj2 min

OT

  • 1:46MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTOR goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Cole Caufield, OT 4:22 — MTL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.36I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.32C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.22O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.19C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.18S. Pastujov · Missed · xG 0.18J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.17J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.17C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.14I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.14I. Demidov · Goal · xG 0.13L. Hutson · Goal · xG 0.12N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.11C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.11J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.10O. Beck · Missed · xG 0.08T. Thorpe · On goal · xG 0.08C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.08S. Pastujov · On goal · xG 0.07C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.06S. Pastujov · On goal · xG 0.06L. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.06A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.06L. Condotta · Missed · xG 0.05I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.05S. Pastujov · On goal · xG 0.05S. Pastujov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Slafkovský · Goal · xG 0.05O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.05S. Pastujov · Missed · xG 0.05J. Davidson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.04I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.04A. Xhekaj · Missed · xG 0.03E. Samson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Samson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.02E. Samson · Missed · xG 0.02I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01E. Samson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Thorpe · On goal · xG 0.01I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.01T. Thorpe · On goal · xG 0.01E. Samson · On goal · xG 0.01
MTL4 G · 3.9 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsMTL
2.43 G
All situations
4 G3.9
1.41 G
Even strength
3 G3.1
1.02 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR28%72%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.37 – 3.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsMTL
21
Shots on goal
30
53%
Faceoffs
47%
2/4
Power play
1/2
28
Penalty minutes
22
25
Hits
43
24
Blocked shots
5
19
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3N. BlankenburgD000-110.01180—24:47
95O. Ekman-LarssonD011-100.00520—23:53
15C. SissonsC101010.263109023:09
20N. PaulL000030.182003822:58
53E. CowanR011020.18000—21:51
28T. StecherD000010.15320—21:24
71V. LettieriC000030.11210—21:14
36D. MermisD000010.02210—21:08
24B. DuhaimeL000000.1430010018:40
73T. BluegerC000-110.220075016:19
82C. McWardD000-100.00130—15:36
90B. BrissonC011-100.06122—15:10
12L. ShawR000-210.212203014:20
58N. ChadwickD000-100.00000—14:12
77R. TverbergC011-220.15000—13:38
54H. RybinskiR112020.29010—11:14
57M. JohnstoneR101+120.3701010005:43
61M. PezzettaL011010.010017—04:50
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31S. Hlavaj(O)15132.8672.08+0.0834:18
70A. Akhtyamov15132.8671.80-0.2029:50

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).