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Canadiens at Maple Leafs
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
▸4
Toronto Maple Leafs
1
FinalTV TSN2, TSN4·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Maksymilian Szuber's goal at 4:46 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.4 to 2.7; shots on goal were MTL 29, TOR 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 13 of 13 (1.000), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Anthony Stolarz stopped 15 of 17 (.882), 0.9 goals below expected.

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL0818313429
TORTOR0811106125

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. MTL
    P. Danault(1)
    Z. Bolduc (1), A. Texier (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:51
  2. TOR
    D. Raddysh(1)PPG
    A. Matthews (1), J. Tavares (1)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:39

3rd period

  1. MTL
    M. Szuber(1)
    A. Newhook (1), M. Matheson (1)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:46
  2. MTL
    P. Danault(2)EN
    J. Anderson (1), F. Xhekaj (1)
    wristxG 0.62win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:59
  3. MTL
    S. Poulin(1)
    F. Mesar (1), R. Walsh (1)
    tip-inxG 0.11Video
    4-1
    19:37

Penalties

MTL 17 PIM·TOR 11 PIM

1st

  • 0:30MTLNoah Dobson · High stickingdrawn by John Tavares2 min
  • 4:44TORGavin McKenna · Hookingdrawn by Samuel Poulin2 min
  • 7:22TORDarren Raddysh · Holdingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 18:01MTLZachary Bolduc · Hookingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min

2nd

  • 1:28MTLFlorian Xhekaj · Cross checkingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
  • 6:02TORWilliam Nylander · Slashingdrawn by Florian Xhekaj2 min
  • 7:56TORMarshall Rifai · Fightingdrawn by Noah Dobson5 min
  • 7:56MTLFlorian Xhekaj · Fightingdrawn by Marshall Rifai5 min
  • 8:44MTLMaksymilian Szuber · Holdingdrawn by Gavin McKenna2 min
  • 15:56MTLAdam Engstrom · Interferencedrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min
  • 18:10MTLBrett Berard · Holding the stickdrawn by Emil Andrae2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalMTL goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Maksymilian Szuber, 3rd 4:46 — MTL 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.47W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.18G. McKenna · On goal · xG 0.16A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.16J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.14A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.12W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.12B. Groulx · Missed · xG 0.10J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.09W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.09A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.08A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.08A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.07G. McKenna · On goal · xG 0.07S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.07W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.07J. Quillan · On goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.05A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05D. Raddysh · Goal · xG 0.04W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.04J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.03W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.03G. McKenna · On goal · xG 0.02Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.02Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.02B. Danford · On goal · xG 0.02M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.00J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR1 G · 2.7 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsTOR
3.43 G
All situations
1 G2.7
1.83 G
Even strength
0 G1.5
0.50 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL45%55%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.32 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsTOR
29
Shots on goal
25
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/3
Power play
1/6
17
Penalty minutes
11
24
Hits
27
11
Blocked shots
15
10
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD011+110.07310—23:48
53N. DobsonD000+130.21102—22:50
64D. ReinbacherD000+110.02310—22:01
42A. EngstromD000+110.01002—19:56
15A. NewhookC011+100.070008818:46
24P. DanaultC202+240.821004518:00
17J. AndersonR011+100.65010—17:38
77K. DachC000030.421006016:31
76Z. BolducR011+130.29202—16:16
85A. TexierL011+120.19200—16:02
71J. EvansC000+120.041005015:49
79M. SzuberD101+220.19112—13:26
37B. BerardL000+100.0421210012:45
44R. WalshD011+220.05130—12:40
63F. XhekajL011+100.01417—11:59
41H. McKownC000+110.152102510:53
88S. PoulinR101+120.14000—10:02
46F. MesarR011+120.06010—09:55
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault131301.0001.66+1.6631:19
34K. Kahkonen(W)12111.9170.99-0.0128:41

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).