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Canucks at Kraken
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
2
Seattle Kraken
▸4
FinalTV KHN/Prime, KONG·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-2. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. The Kraken led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ty Nelson's goal at 19:55 of the first period, which took the Kraken's chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals were close — VAN 1.9, SEA 1.9; shots on goal were VAN 20, SEA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Nikita Tolopilo stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 2.1 goals below expected; Joey Daccord stopped 14 of 14 (1.000), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Morrison (1 G), 2. Jacob Melanson (2 A), 3. Jake O'Brien (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    L. Morrison1 G
  2. ★★
    SEA
    J. Melanson2 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    J. O'Brien1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN070726220
SEASEA2908213430

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    J. Nyman(1)PPG
    J. O'Brien (1), C. Fleury (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:29
  2. SEA
    T. Nelson(1)
    J. Melanson (1), R. Lindgren (1)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:55

3rd period

  1. SEA
    L. Morrison(1)PPG
    F. Gaudreau (1), O. Fisker Molgaard (1)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-3
    0:42
  2. VAN
    B. Cootes(1)
    A. Bains (1), J. Lekkerimäki (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-3
    11:09
  3. VAN
    A. Bains(1)PPG
    B. Cootes (1), J. Lekkerimäki (2)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:51
  4. SEA
    J. O'Brien(1)
    J. Melanson (2)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +8 ptsVideo
    2-4
    17:25

Penalties

VAN 10 PIM·SEA 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:46VANAatu Räty · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Jugnauth2 min
  • 2:27SEAJagger Firkus · Trippingdrawn by Matt Stienburg2 min
  • 7:55VANSawyer Mynio · Cross checkingdrawn by Jagger Firkus2 min
  • 11:45SEAJulius Miettinen · Holdingdrawn by Braeden Cootes2 min

2nd

  • 5:39SEATyson Jugnauth · Holdingdrawn by Aatu Räty2 min
  • 15:21VANMatt Stienburg · Holdingdrawn by Lleyton Roed2 min
  • 19:51VANElias Pettersson · High stickingdrawn by Tyson Jugnauth2 min

3rd

  • 14:07SEAJohn Hayden · Roughingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 14:07VANElias Pettersson · Roughingdrawn by John Hayden2 min
  • 15:20SEAJagger Firkus · Delaying game2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalVAN goalFinal: SEA 100%

Biggest swing: Ty Nelson, 1st 19:55 — SEA 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. O'Brien · Goal · xG 0.18T. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.17J. Nyman · On goal · xG 0.16L. Morrison · Goal · xG 0.15B. Meyers · Missed · xG 0.13J. Firkus · On goal · xG 0.12L. Morrison · On goal · xG 0.08L. Morrison · Missed · xG 0.07E. Sale · On goal · xG 0.07J. Miettinen · Missed · xG 0.06J. Nyman · Goal · xG 0.06E. Sale · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.05V. Ottavainen · On goal · xG 0.05J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.05O. Fisker Molgaard · On goal · xG 0.04J. Firkus · Missed · xG 0.04J. Nyman · On goal · xG 0.04J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.04L. Morrison · Missed · xG 0.04J. Firkus · On goal · xG 0.04J. Melanson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Nyman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Firkus · On goal · xG 0.02T. Jugnauth · Missed · xG 0.02L. Roed · On goal · xG 0.02L. Roed · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jugnauth · On goal · xG 0.01J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.01T. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.01T. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Sale · On goal · xG 0.01V. Ottavainen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01V. Ottavainen · On goal · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.00T. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA4 G · 1.9 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsSEA
1.92 G
All situations
4 G1.9
0.91 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
1.01 G
Power play
2 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN49%51%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 1.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsSEA
20
Shots on goal
30
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/4
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
10
34
Hits
22
20
Blocked shots
8
23
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59K. KudryavtsevD000010.04010—21:49
90V. ManciniD000000.20310—20:28
48J. SchuldtD000010.06240—20:03
25E. PetterssonD000010.07404—19:07
13A. BainsL112030.251005018:59
86B. CootesC112020.241003118:56
88J. LekkerimäkiR022020.09010—17:16
55G. BriseboisD000010.05020—17:04
45S. MynioD000-110.05032—16:54
63M. SassonC000-100.080303316:32
54A. RätyC000-100.001126716:00
15A. NovotnyL000000.00410—15:05
64T. Fix-WolanskyR000020.07200—14:43
24I. SafonovC000-100.004007714:11
68R. PattersonC000-110.0431010013:37
21C. WoutersC000000.064006011:58
83M. StienburgC000050.611225011:16
46V. AlrikssonL000000.00400—09:11
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60N. Tolopilo(L)30264.8671.92-2.0859:26

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).