Winnipeg Jets at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-2. The Jets scored first; the Oilers answered. The Oilers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 12:08 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.0 to 2.8; shots on goal were WPG 21, EDM 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Thomas Milic stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.6 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 15 of 16 (.938), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Shea (1 G, 2 A), 2. Evan Bouchard (4 A), 3. Alex Formenton (1 G).
Three stars
- ★R. Shea1 G, 2 A

- ★★E. Bouchard4 A

- ★★★A. Formenton1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-01:58
1-16:52
1-29:31
2nd period
1-312:08
1-413:51
3rd period
2-415:53
2-518:53
Penalties
1st
- 14:21
Joshua Brown · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Chibrikov2 min
3rd
- 13:09
Tyrel Bauer · Trippingdrawn by Alex Formenton2 min
- 19:10
Owen Michaels · High stickingdrawn by Lucas Wahlin2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, 2nd 12:08 — 72% → 88%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.02 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.8
- 2.72 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.2
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 2.37
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 21
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 44%
- Faceoffs
- 56%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 11
- Hits
- 28
- 19
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 23
- Giveaways
- 13
- 2
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
first meetingData: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















