Oilers at Jets — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Oilers at Jets

Edmonton Oilers(41-30-11)

Winnipeg Jets(35-35-12)

Wed, Apr 7, 8:00 PM EDTTV Prime·Canada Life Centre

Our win probability

and the three reasons

50%

Oilers

to win

50%

Jets

Expected goals: 3.0–3.0
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors EDM
.504vs.491win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors EDM
.040vs-.0485v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WPG
.037vs.117GSAx / 60
Projected lineupsfavors EDM
.475vs.0275v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
Home icefavors WPG
WPG at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Oilers

Frederik Andersen+0.17 GSAx/60
50% to start653 career GP
Tristan Jarry-0.09 GSAx/60
42% to start335 career GP
Devon Levi-0.12 GSAx/60
8% to start39 career GP

Jets

Connor Hellebuyck+0.18 GSAx/60
57% to start683 career GP
Stuart Skinner+0.04 GSAx/60
43% to start277 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: EDM Mike Babcock · WPG Scott Arniel

Leaders

vs

C. McDavid
138
Points
M. Scheifele
103
C. McDavid
48
Goals
K. Connor
39
C. McDavid
90
Assists
M. Scheifele
67

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

3.446th
Goals for / game: 25th2.79; 3.2325th
Goals against / game: 21st3.12; 30.6%1st
Power play: 24th18.5%; 77.8%20th
Penalty kill: 21st77.6%; 52.6%6th
Faceoffs: 9th51.1%

Season series

first meeting

Jan 17@
Apr 7@this game
Apr 10@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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