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Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV TNT, truTV·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-2. The Penguins scored first; the Flyers answered. The Flyers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rasmus Ristolainen's goal at 9:06 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.4 to 2.6; shots on goal were PIT 29, PHI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.6 goals below expected; Dan Vladar stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sean Couturier (2 A), 2. Trevor Zegras (1 G, 1 A), 3. Rasmus Ristolainen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    S. Couturier2 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    T. Zegras1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    R. Ristolainen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT11007112229
PHIPHI01031524529

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.17win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:18

2nd period

  1. PHI
    T. Zegras(1)PPG
    slapxG 0.11win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:18
  2. PHI
    snapxG 0.04win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:06
  3. PHI
    snapxG 0.02win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    11:18

3rd period

  1. PIT
    slapxG 0.07win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-3
    9:39
  2. PHI
    N. Cates(1)PPG
    snapxG 0.20win prob +9 ptsVideo
    2-4
    12:30
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.94Video
    2-5
    18:48

Penalties

PIT 22 PIM·PHI 28 PIM

1st

  • 3:21PHISean Couturier · Trippingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 18:47PHIGarnet Hathaway · High stickingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 18:47PITSidney Crosby · Embellishment2 min

2nd

  • 1:39PHITravis Konecny · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 1:39PITKris Letang · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 2:20PITErik Karlsson · Trippingdrawn by Cam York2 min
  • 4:33PITBryan Rust · Roughingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 4:33PHICam York · Roughingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 4:33PITSamuel Girard · Roughingdrawn by Cam York2 min
  • 4:33PHITravis Sanheim · Roughingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min
  • 4:33PITErik Karlsson · Roughingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 4:33PITRyan Shea · Roughingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
  • 4:33PHIChristian Dvorak · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Shea2 min
  • 4:33PHITravis Konecny · Roughingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 4:33PITBryan Rust · Roughingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 4:33PHIMatvei Michkov · Roughingdrawn by Connor Dewar2 min
  • 4:33PITConnor Dewar · Roughingdrawn by Matvei Michkov2 min
  • 5:34PHINick Seeler · Cross checkingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 14:20PITEvgeni Malkin · Cross checkingdrawn by Matvei Michkov2 min
  • 14:20PHIMatvei Michkov · Embellishment2 min

3rd

  • 5:11PHITyson Foerster · Trippingdrawn by Ben Kindel2 min
  • 8:12PHIMatvei Michkov · Roughingdrawn by Connor Dewar2 min
  • 11:12PITAnthony Mantha · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 13:28PHISean Couturier · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 20:00PHIPorter Martone · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Ben Kindel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalPIT goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Rasmus Ristolainen, 2nd 9:06 — PHI 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.94T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.28N. Cates · Goal · xG 0.20S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.19P. Martone · On goal · xG 0.16N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.14S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.14T. Zegras · Goal · xG 0.11T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.11T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.10P. Martone · On goal · xG 0.08C. York · On goal · xG 0.07C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.07J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.07N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.06T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.06C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.05T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.05R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.05J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.04R. Ristolainen · Goal · xG 0.04O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.03T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.03C. York · On goal · xG 0.03S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · Goal · xG 0.02M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.02O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.02N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.01M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.01T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.01C. York · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI5 G · 3.4 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsPHI
2.62 G
All situations
4 G3.4
1.20 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
1.42 G
Power play
2 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT53%47%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 2.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsPHI
29
Shots on goal
29
42%
Faceoffs
58%
2/5
Power play
2/3
22
Penalty minutes
28
27
Hits
44
13
Blocked shots
13
12
Giveaways
15
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD101-120.19104—28:59
67R. RakellR011-130.24210—24:34
87S. CrosbyC011-130.311024123:00
58K. LetangD000-110.07112—22:08
17B. RustR011-130.47204—20:25
71E. MalkinC101020.21002020:06
28P. WotherspoonD000-110.02540—19:37
49S. GirardD000-110.05312—17:59
5R. SheaD000010.01012—13:20
81B. KindelC000-110.202002913:07
18T. NovakC011-310.152006712:42
46B. LizotteC000010.131105012:32
39A. ManthaR000-220.13112—12:28
55N. AcciariC000030.192103811:58
19C. DewarC000000.00012010:37
59E. ChinakhovR000-130.20100—10:27
75C. CliftonD000-210.01100—09:33
16J. BrazeauR000000.00210—08:24
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(L)28244.8572.43-1.5758:01

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).