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Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV ESPN, SN-PIT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Sanheim's goal at 10:00 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.4 to 1.5; shots on goal were PHI 20, PIT 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 16 of 18 (.889); Stuart Skinner stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Travis Sanheim (1 G), 2. Porter Martone (1 G), 3. Evgeni Malkin (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    T. Sanheim1 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    P. Martone1 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    E. Malkin1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI091724320
PITPIT051617218

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.03win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:19
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.04win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:51

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.08win prob +33 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:00
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.04win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-1
    17:23
  3. PIT
    snapxG 0.14win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-2
    18:59

Penalties

PHI 8 PIM·PIT 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:53PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Roughingdrawn by Elmer Soderblom2 min
  • 6:37PITKris Letang · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Foerster2 min
  • 11:16PITSidney Crosby · Roughingdrawn by Jamie Drysdale2 min
  • 11:16PHIJamie Drysdale · Interferencedrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

2nd

  • 10:38PHITravis Sanheim · Interferencedrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 18:48PITAnthony Mantha · Cross checkingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min

3rd

  • 3:48PITAnthony Mantha · High stickingdrawn by Porter Martone2 min
  • 18:51PITSidney Crosby · Slashingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 18:51PHITravis Sanheim · Cross checkingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalPHI goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Travis Sanheim, 3rd 10:00 — PHI 48% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.25S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.16E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.15B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.14E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.10S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.09C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.06B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.06E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.02T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.02R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.02C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.02E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kindel · Missed · xG 0.01B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.01E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.01S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT2 G · 1.5 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsPIT
2.43 G
All situations
2 G1.5
1.73 G
Even strength
2 G0.7
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI61%39%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.01 – 1.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsPIT
20
Shots on goal
18
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/3
Power play
0/2
8
Penalty minutes
10
40
Hits
41
14
Blocked shots
9
11
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55R. RistolainenD022-110.00112—25:00
6T. SanheimD101010.10304—23:20
8C. YorkD000+110.39220—22:02
9J. DrysdaleD101+110.08022—20:57
22C. DvorakC011+220.412204218:00
74O. TippettR000+130.42210—16:37
11T. KonecnyR011+200.03400—16:21
71T. FoersterR000020.32110—16:01
14S. CouturierC000-120.157006315:47
94P. MartoneR101+210.11310—15:47
46T. ZegrasC011+120.160103815:31
27N. CatesL000-120.101003615:30
24N. SeelerD000+100.00310—14:04
41L. GlendeningC000-100.001103313:17
19G. HathawayR000000.00610—12:07
52D. BarkeyC011010.13100011:26
39M. MichkovR000-100.00200—11:25
36E. AndraeD000010.01100—09:39
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(W)18162.8891.51-0.4960:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).