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Kings at Flames
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Los Angeles Kings
1
Calgary Flames
▸3
FinalTV FDSNSC, SN1·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zayne Parekh's goal at 6:08 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.6 to 1.7; shots on goal were LAK 28, CGY 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 17 of 19 (.895), 0.7 goals below expected; Arsenii Sergeev stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 2.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Arsenii Sergeev (27 saves, .964), 2. Zayne Parekh (1 G), 3. Anze Kopitar.

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    A. Sergeev27 saves, .964
  2. ★★
    CGY
    Z. Parekh1 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK01011008128
CGYCGY021929320

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Frost(22)PPG
    M. Gridin (14), M. Coronato (27)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:21
  2. LAK
    Q. Byfield(24)
    T. Moore (19), A. Laferriere (23)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:43

3rd period

  1. CGY
    Z. Parekh(4)
    Z. Whitecloud (14), R. Strome (13)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +27 ptsVideo
    1-2
    6:08
  2. CGY
    J. Farabee(20)EN
    Z. Whitecloud (15)
    backhandxG 0.41win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:20

Penalties

LAK 8 PIM·CGY 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:28LAKDrew Doughty · High stickingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 5:26CGYAydar Suniev · Interferencedrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min

2nd

  • 3:37LAKSamuel Helenius · Illegal check to headdrawn by Brayden Pachal2 min
  • 17:12CGYJoel Farabee · Trippingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 17:38CGYBlake Coleman · Roughingdrawn by Alex Laferriere2 min
  • 17:38LAKAlex Laferriere · Interferencedrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

3rd

  • 2:43LAKBrian Dumoulin · Trippingdrawn by Adam Klapka2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalLAK goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Zayne Parekh, 3rd 6:08 — CGY 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.41J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.20A. Suniev · On goal · xG 0.19M. Frost · Goal · xG 0.12M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.12J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.09B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.07A. Klapka · Missed · xG 0.06J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.05J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.04M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Parekh · Goal · xG 0.04V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.03M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.02M. Gridin · Missed · xG 0.02H. Brzustewicz · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Parekh · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.01A. Wiebe · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pachal · Missed · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.01V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.00M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 1.7 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCGY
3.61 G
All situations
2 G1.7
3.41 G
Even strength
1 G0.7
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK86%14%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.49 – 1.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCGY
28
Shots on goal
20
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
12
Hits
16
17
Blocked shots
22
13
Giveaways
26
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55Q. ByfieldR101020.590105021:51
8D. DoughtyD000010.00312—21:39
44M. AndersonD000010.01220—21:33
9A. KempeR000-120.411005020:31
10A. PanarinL000-120.38000—20:26
14A. LaferriereR011020.231023320:02
11A. KopitarC000-130.690203919:41
92B. ClarkeD000000.01030—19:34
5C. CeciD000000.02030—18:26
12T. MooreL011+170.30000—18:01
6J. EdmundsonD000030.31100—16:44
2B. DumoulinD000-100.00012—16:08
40J. ArmiaR000010.00000—14:05
21S. LaughtonC000020.350105013:33
53J. WrightR000000.02010—10:38
17M. JosephR000-110.20110—08:33
79S. HeleniusC000-100.002025008:06
52T. WardR000-110.04110—06:10
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(L)19172.8951.27-0.7358:35

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).