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Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV NHLN, FDSNW·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Calgary Flames 2-0. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Laferriere's goal at 15:36 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.5 to 2.6; shots on goal were CGY 29, LAK 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Anton Forsberg stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anton Forsberg (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Alex Laferriere (1 G), 3. Trevor Moore (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Forsberg29 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Laferriere1 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    T. Moore1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY01401005029
LAKLAK01311519237

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.14win prob +21 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:36

3rd period

  1. LAK
    A. Kempe(22)EN
    backhandxG 0.45win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:22

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCGY goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Laferriere, 2nd 15:36 — LAK 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.45J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.36T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.19A. Laferriere · Goal · xG 0.14A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.14A. Turcotte · On goal · xG 0.13A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.12A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.11A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.11A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.09A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.09A. Turcotte · Missed · xG 0.09B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.09J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.08B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.08Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.07A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.06A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.06A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.06B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.06A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.05A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.05T. Ward · On goal · xG 0.05T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.04J. Malott · Missed · xG 0.04T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.04A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.04T. Ward · On goal · xG 0.04T. Ward · On goal · xG 0.04T. Ward · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.03J. Moverare · On goal · xG 0.03S. Helenius · Missed · xG 0.02T. Ward · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moverare · Missed · xG 0.02A. Turcotte · On goal · xG 0.02C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.02A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.01A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.01B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.01A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.01J. Malott · Missed · xG 0.01A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.01W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.01A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.00Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.00T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK2 G · 3.5 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsLAK
2.60 G
All situations
1 G3.5
2.50 G
Even strength
1 G2.7
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY49%51%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 2.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsLAK
29
Shots on goal
37
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/0
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
0
20
Hits
26
14
Blocked shots
20
10
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD000-210.04030—23:17
7K. BahlD000-100.04100—22:56
28Z. WhitecloudD000010.01310—22:15
37Y. KuznetsovD000010.01100—21:47
86J. FarabeeL000-110.26100—18:08
91N. KadriC000-250.461004718:00
27M. CoronatoR000-140.250002517:32
20B. ColemanL000010.12200—17:23
92M. GridinR000-140.56020—17:00
11M. BacklundC000020.220102516:56
16M. FrostC000000.211007316:11
19Z. ParekhD000000.05010—15:28
17Y. SharangovichC000-110.00020014:33
44J. HanleyD000010.01110—13:57
47C. ZaryC000-110.04000013:55
43A. KlapkaR000-130.25720—13:45
76M. PospisilC000000.00200009:21
18J. BeecherC000030.070107109:03
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(L)36351.9722.69+1.6958:33

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).