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Rangers at Lightning
NHL

New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
▸4
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
FinalTV The Spot, MSG·Benchmark International Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-2. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tye Kartye's goal at 1:29 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 63% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.2 to 2.9; shots on goal were NYR 21, TBL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Dylan Garand stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Brandon Halverson stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tye Kartye (2 G, 1 A), 2. Corey Perry (1 G), 3. Scott Sabourin (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    T. Kartye2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    C. Perry1 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    S. Sabourin1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR163906421
TBLTBL0819114231

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    T. Kartye(7)
    M. Zibanejad (44), V. Gavrikov (21)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:02

2nd period

  1. NYR
    T. Kartye(8)
    J. Miller (35), C. Sheary (11)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    1:29
  2. NYR
    G. Perreault(12)
    W. Cuylle (18), T. Kartye (14)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-0
    4:49
  3. TBL
    O. Bjorkstrand(12)
    S. Sabourin (4), M. Chaffee (1)
    backhandxG 0.78win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    11:15
  4. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(34)PPG
    A. Lafrenière (33), J. Miller (36)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-1
    12:46

3rd period

  1. TBL
    C. Perry(17)
    Z. Girgensons (11), E. Lilleberg (8)
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-2
    0:51

Penalties

NYR 10 PIM·TBL 10 PIM

2nd

  • 2:33TBLCharle-Edouard D'Astous · Hookingdrawn by Noah Laba2 min
  • 7:53NYRWill Cuylle · Trippingdrawn by Declan Carlile2 min
  • 8:55TBLOliver Bjorkstrand · Hookingdrawn by Braden Schneider2 min
  • 12:23TBLEmil Lilleberg · Roughingdrawn by Jaroslav Chmelar2 min
  • 12:23NYRJaroslav Chmelar · Roughingdrawn by Emil Lilleberg2 min
  • 12:23NYRWill Cuylle · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 12:23TBLCorey Perry · Roughingdrawn by Will Cuylle2 min
  • 12:23TBLEmil Lilleberg · Roughingdrawn by Jaroslav Chmelar2 min

3rd

  • 1:29NYRJaroslav Chmelar · Trippingdrawn by Emil Lilleberg2 min
  • 16:47NYRTye Kartye · Slashingdrawn by Darren Raddysh2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalNYR goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Tye Kartye, 2nd 1:29 — NYR 63% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Bjorkstrand · Goal · xG 0.78Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.50N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.21N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.17B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.17N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.15O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.15N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.14C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.14S. Santini · Missed · xG 0.13N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.13S. Sabourin · Missed · xG 0.12N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.12C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.10C. D'Astous · On goal · xG 0.09Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.09B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.09N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.08B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.08J. Pelletier · On goal · xG 0.08B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.07N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.07B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.05D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.05D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.04S. Sabourin · Missed · xG 0.04D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.04D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.03C. D'Astous · On goal · xG 0.03D. Carlile · Missed · xG 0.03E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.03M. Crozier · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.02S. Santini · On goal · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.02M. Crozier · On goal · xG 0.02C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.01C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.01C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.01D. Carlile · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.01S. Sabourin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Crozier · On goal · xG 0.01C. D'Astous · Missed · xG 0.01S. Sabourin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.01C. D'Astous · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL2 G · 4.2 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsTBL
2.94 G
All situations
2 G4.2
1.83 G
Even strength
2 G3.6
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR25%75%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.52 – 4.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsTBL
21
Shots on goal
31
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
10
23
Hits
18
16
Blocked shots
11
12
Giveaways
20
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44V. GavrikovD011010.46020—26:23
93M. ZibanejadC112+130.250006921:42
23A. FoxD000010.06010—21:32
16V. TrocheckC000000.024105820:19
4B. SchneiderD000-110.02110—19:41
13A. LafrenièreL011+110.15000—18:13
94G. PerreaultR101+130.29000—17:10
29M. RobertsonD000+200.02210—16:41
8J. MillerC022020.170104216:23
17W. BorgenD000+100.02140—16:17
45D. FortescueD000000.00010—15:44
24T. KartyeL213+130.66212—15:05
50W. CuylleL011+110.20524—14:39
49J. ChmelarR000010.02414—13:26
43C. ShearyL011-120.08000—11:37
42N. LabaC000-100.000002511:27
14T. RaddyshR000010.39200—08:57
38A. SykoraL000010.14200—08:44
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Garand(W)31292.9354.23+2.2360:00

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).