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Penguins at Blues
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
5
St. Louis Blues
▸7
FinalTV ESPN, SN-PIT·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 7-5. The Blues came back from three goals down. It was tied 4-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Holloway's goal at 4:11 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were PIT 23, STL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.1 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jimmy Snuggerud (2 G, 2 A), 2. Dylan Holloway (2 G, 1 A), 3. Oskar Sundqvist (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Snuggerud2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    D. Holloway2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    O. Sundqvist1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT381619523
STLSTL15316310731

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    R. McGroarty(3)
    K. Hayes (3)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:14
  2. PIT
    A. Hayes(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    16:40
  3. PIT
    A. Mantha(33)
    K. Hayes (4)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    17:23
  4. STL
    J. Snuggerud(20)
    R. Thomas (38)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:44

2nd period

  1. PIT
    E. Soderblom(7)
    B. Kindel (18), A. Mantha (31)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-1
    2:58
  2. STL
    O. Sundqvist(5)
    A. Toropchenko (7), P. Broberg (27)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-2
    4:51
  3. STL
    L. Mailloux(4)
    J. Drouin (20), J. Neighbours (20)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-3
    10:37
  4. STL
    J. Snuggerud(21)PPG
    J. Neighbours (21), D. Holloway (27)
    snapxG 0.58win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-4
    15:49

3rd period

  1. STL
    D. Holloway(21)
    J. Snuggerud (28), R. Thomas (39)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +26 ptsVideo
    4-5
    4:11
  2. STL
    P. Buchnevich(19)
    J. Kyrou (27), J. Binnington (2)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-6
    4:55
  3. PIT
    A. Hayes(5)
    R. Shea (29), A. Silovs (3)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +11 ptsVideo
    5-6
    12:20
  4. STL
    D. Holloway(22)EN
    J. Snuggerud (29), L. Mailloux (8)
    wristxG 0.91win prob +4 ptsVideo
    5-7
    18:17

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:38PITElmer Soderblom · Interferencedrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min

2nd

  • 10:51STLNathan Walker · Roughingdrawn by Rafael Harvey-Pinard2 min
  • 15:34PITAnthony Mantha · Roughingdrawn by Pius Suter2 min

3rd

  • 10:15STLDylan Holloway · Holdingdrawn by Ville Koivunen2 min
  • 19:46PITIlya Solovyov · Holdingdrawn by Alexey Toropchenko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalPIT goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Dylan Holloway, 3rd 4:11 — STL 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Holloway · Goal · xG 0.91J. Snuggerud · Goal · xG 0.58J. Snuggerud · Goal · xG 0.25O. Sundqvist · Goal · xG 0.24D. Holloway · Goal · xG 0.20P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.17D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.15D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.15D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.14C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.13P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.13J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.13D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.11A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.11J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.10J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.09D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.09A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.09J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.08R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.07D. Dvorsky · Missed · xG 0.07R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.06P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.06P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.06P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.05D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.05D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.05C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.05C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.05J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.05L. Mailloux · Goal · xG 0.04L. Mailloux · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03M. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.02L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.01L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.01J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.01L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.01P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.00
STL7 G · 4.8 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsSTL
2.45 G
All situations
6 G4.8
2.25 G
Even strength
5 G3.1
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT27%73%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 3.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsSTL
23
Shots on goal
31
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
20
10
Blocked shots
14
21
Giveaways
15
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
57J. LivanavageD000-200.00010—25:14
5R. SheaD011010.14000—21:58
3J. St. IvanyD000-100.00400—21:00
18T. NovakC000-220.080005819:56
75C. CliftonD000010.03110—18:54
39A. ManthaR112-130.2300210018:23
41V. KoivunenR000-220.12010—18:09
81B. KindelC011010.200004718:05
16J. BrazeauR000-110.23020—16:41
2R. McGroartyR101010.04000—15:21
7I. SolovyovD000020.02212—14:31
27R. GravesD000010.04510—14:20
55N. AcciariC000000.000205614:05
13K. HayesR022+320.230006914:01
85A. HayesR202+130.46210—13:48
25E. SoderblomL101-110.20102—13:43
48R. Harvey-PinardL000+120.36000—11:01
15J. KoppanenL000-100.000002910:51
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner21174.8102.91-1.0940:00
37A. Silovs(L)972.7781.01-0.9917:30

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).