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Blues at Penguins
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
3
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸6
FinalTV NHLN, FDSNMW·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the St. Louis Blues 6-3. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Parker Wotherspoon's goal at 6:37 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.3 to 2.9; shots on goal were STL 28, PIT 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 2.4 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Bryan Rust (2 G, 1 A), 2. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 2 A), 3. Erik Karlsson (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    B. Rust2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    E. Karlsson3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL28010110328
PITPIT2101838626

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(2)
    E. Karlsson (7), F. Hallander (2)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:39
  2. PIT
    A. Mantha(5)
    E. Malkin (13), J. Brazeau (5)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    0:55
  3. STL
    N. Bjugstad(2)
    N. Walker (3), T. Tucker (3)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:15
  4. STL
    J. Kyrou(3)
    B. Schenn (3), D. Holloway (3)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-2
    15:43

2nd period

  1. PIT
    P. Wotherspoon(1)
    S. Crosby (6), E. Karlsson (8)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-3
    6:37

3rd period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(3)
    E. Karlsson (9), S. Crosby (7)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    0:42
  2. STL
    M. Joseph(1)
    N. Bjugstad (1)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-4
    4:35
  3. PIT
    S. Crosby(7)
    B. Rust (4)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-5
    16:39
  4. PIT
    E. Malkin(3)EN
    J. Brazeau (6)
    wristxG 0.65win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-6
    16:59

Penalties

STL 2 PIM·PIT 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:04PITTommy Novak · High stickingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min

2nd

  • 12:17PITTommy Novak · Trippingdrawn by Logan Mailloux2 min

3rd

  • 2:10PITHarrison Brunicke · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Holloway2 min
  • 4:39PITEvgeni Malkin · Slashingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min
  • 4:39STLNick Bjugstad · Slashingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalSTL goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Parker Wotherspoon, 2nd 6:37 — PIT 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.65B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.33J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.32S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.26J. Brazeau · Missed · xG 0.16A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.15T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.13S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.13J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.09B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.09J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.09F. Hallander · On goal · xG 0.08N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.07B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.06P. Wotherspoon · Goal · xG 0.06B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.06F. Hallander · On goal · xG 0.06F. Hallander · Missed · xG 0.05T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.05M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.04E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.04K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hallander · Missed · xG 0.03B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03H. Brunicke · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02H. Brunicke · On goal · xG 0.02C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kindel · Missed · xG 0.02B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.01R. Shea · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT6 G · 3.3 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsPIT
2.93 G
All situations
5 G3.3
2.03 G
Even strength
5 G2.6
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL55%45%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.85 – 2.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsPIT
28
Shots on goal
26
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/3
Power play
0/0
2
Penalty minutes
8
17
Hits
9
11
Blocked shots
20
15
Giveaways
31
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17C. FowlerD000-220.12010—22:10
72J. FaulkD000-320.08130—22:04
6P. BrobergD000-210.13020—21:45
55C. ParaykoD000-210.09010—20:21
89P. BuchnevichL000-330.21100—19:20
25J. KyrouR101030.42010—18:49
81D. HollowayL011+120.12510—18:13
21J. SnuggerudR000-120.2600010017:41
10B. SchennC011010.180004316:49
22P. SuterC000-200.160006016:27
75T. TuckerD011+200.00100—15:14
70O. SundqvistC000-200.000007314:35
77N. BjugstadC112010.150025013:29
23L. MaillouxD000+110.03010—13:14
9A. TexierL000020.33300—12:41
71M. JosephR101020.13100—12:27
26N. WalkerL011-220.3521010012:14
13A. ToropchenkoR000-130.14300—10:34
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Hofer(L)25205.8002.62-2.3859:53

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).