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Sabres at Blackhawks
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸5
Chicago Blackhawks
1
FinalTV CHSN, MSG-B·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-1. The Blackhawks scored first; the Sabres answered. The Sabres led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tage Thompson's goal at 13:00 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.1 to 1.7; shots on goal were BUF 26, CHI 16. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 15 of 16 (.938), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Spencer Knight stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tage Thompson (2 G), 2. Alex Tuch (1 G, 1 A), 3. Rasmus Dahlin (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    T. Thompson2 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    A. Tuch1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    R. Dahlin2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF1611238526
CHICHI150407116

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    R. Greene(11)SHG
    I. Mikheyev (18)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:58
  2. BUF
    J. Norris(12)
    J. Doan (27)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:02

2nd period

  1. BUF
    T. Thompson(39)
    A. Tuch (33)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:00

3rd period

  1. BUF
    A. Tuch(32)
    R. Dahlin (54), L. Stanley (17)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    5:38
  2. BUF
    T. Thompson(40)
    R. Dahlin (55), J. Zucker (21)
    slapxG 0.20win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-1
    11:13
  3. BUF
    R. McLeod(14)
    Z. Benson (29), O. Power (19)
    wristxG 0.06Video
    5-1
    18:35

Penalties

BUF 10 PIM·CHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:44CHISam Rinzel · High stickingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 7:49BUFRasmus Dahlin · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

2nd

  • 17:48BUFBeck Malenstyn · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Greene2 min

3rd

  • 2:02BUFJason Zucker · Cross checkingdrawn by Ethan Del Mastro2 min
  • 2:49BUFserved by J. Quinn · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 6:21BUFLogan Stanley · Holdingdrawn by Connor Bedard2 min
  • 9:04CHILouis Crevier · Holdingdrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalBUF goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Tage Thompson, 2nd 13:00 — BUF 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Frondell · On goal · xG 0.20R. Greene · Goal · xG 0.19A. Frondell · On goal · xG 0.13T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.12A. Frondell · On goal · xG 0.11A. Frondell · Missed · xG 0.10T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.09C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.08C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.08T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.07S. Rinzel · Missed · xG 0.07D. Toninato · On goal · xG 0.07A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.05F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.04A. Frondell · On goal · xG 0.04I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.03E. Del Mastro · On goal · xG 0.03A. Frondell · On goal · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.03L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.03E. Del Mastro · Missed · xG 0.02R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.02E. Del Mastro · On goal · xG 0.02N. Lardis · On goal · xG 0.01A. Frondell · Missed · xG 0.01E. Del Mastro · On goal · xG 0.01S. Rinzel · On goal · xG 0.01E. Del Mastro · Missed · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.00
CHI1 G · 1.7 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsCHI
3.15 G
All situations
1 G1.7
2.75 G
Even strength
0 G0.4
0.50 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF75%25%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.10 – 1.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsCHI
26
Shots on goal
16
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/2
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
8
10
Blocked shots
8
12
Giveaways
23
8
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25O. PowerD011+200.02010—22:56
89A. TuchR112+130.5500010021:23
4B. ByramD000+210.21010—21:11
26R. DahlinD022+200.06002—20:59
23M. SamuelssonD000+200.00010—18:59
72T. ThompsonC202+260.652007017:31
21C. TimminsD000000.02000—16:51
71R. McLeodC101+110.060005716:08
64L. StanleyD011+100.00002—15:37
19P. KrebsC000+210.094002514:32
6Z. BensonL011+240.41010—14:22
17J. ZuckerL011020.24112—14:09
22J. QuinnR000010.18000—14:02
91J. DoanR011+210.22000—13:29
12J. GreenwayL000010.03510—12:59
9J. NorrisC101+120.191106912:35
29B. MalenstynL000020.04222—11:32
48T. KozakC000010.165103310:49
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(W)16151.9381.70+0.7060:00

Season series

BUF leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).