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Blackhawks at Sabres
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
3
Buffalo Sabres
▸9
FinalTV CHSN, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Chicago Blackhawks 9-3. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Zucker's goal at 15:19 of the first period, which took the Sabres' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.9 to 1.6; shots on goal were CHI 23, BUF 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Arvid Soderblom stopped 22 of 31 (.710), 6.1 goals below expected; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Tuch (4 A), 2. Josh Doan (2 G), 3. Jason Zucker (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    A. Tuch4 A
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J. Doan2 G
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    J. Zucker1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI1617110323
BUFBUF3153937931

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    J. Doan(6)
    T. Thompson (9), A. Tuch (10)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:57
  2. BUF
    J. Zucker(5)
    J. Quinn (6), R. Dahlin (14)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:19
  3. BUF
    B. Byram(4)PPG
    A. Tuch (11), R. McLeod (6)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    17:33
  4. CHI
    T. Bertuzzi(11)
    S. Rinzel (4), C. Bedard (17)
    backhandxG 0.31win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:12

2nd period

  1. BUF
    R. McLeod(5)
    J. Zucker (4), C. Timmins (5)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-4
    5:42
  2. BUF
    M. Samuelsson(5)
    I. Rosen (4), J. Bryson (2)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-5
    5:50
  3. CHI
    A. Vlasic(2)
    R. Greene (4), S. Rinzel (5)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +3 ptsVideo
    2-5
    14:45
  4. BUF
    J. Doan(7)
    R. Dahlin (15), A. Tuch (12)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-6
    17:31

3rd period

  1. CHI
    T. Bertuzzi(12)PPG
    C. Bedard (18), F. Nazar (10)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-6
    0:24
  2. BUF
    T. Thompson(11)
    A. Tuch (13)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-7
    1:56
  3. BUF
    J. Quinn(4)
    B. Byram (7), J. Zucker (5)
    wristxG 0.07Video
    3-8
    7:07
  4. BUF
    J. Bryson(1)
    B. Malenstyn (2), J. Greenway (2)
    wristxG 0.23Video
    3-9
    16:22

Penalties

CHI 4 PIM·BUF 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:09CHIConnor Bedard · Trippingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min
  • 8:09BUFJason Zucker · Slashingdrawn by Frank Nazar2 min
  • 15:40CHIArtyom Levshunov · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min

2nd

  • 19:05BUFJosh Doan · Slashingdrawn by Landon Slaggert2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalCHI goalFinal: BUF 100%

Biggest swing: Jason Zucker, 1st 15:19 — BUF 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.24J. Bryson · Goal · xG 0.23B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.15A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.15B. Byram · Goal · xG 0.14J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.14J. Doan · Goal · xG 0.13R. McLeod · Goal · xG 0.13J. Doan · Goal · xG 0.13B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.12J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.11A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.11A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.10J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.09T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.08R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.08O. Power · On goal · xG 0.08T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Bryson · Missed · xG 0.07J. Quinn · Goal · xG 0.07T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.06B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.06R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.06P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.05T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.05R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.03P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.02J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.02O. Power · On goal · xG 0.02B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.02M. Samuelsson · Goal · xG 0.02T. Kozak · Missed · xG 0.01P. Krebs · Missed · xG 0.01C. Timmins · Missed · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.01C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.00B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.00N. Ostlund · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF9 G · 2.9 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsBUF
1.63 G
All situations
9 G2.9
1.32 G
Even strength
8 G2.3
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI27%73%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.62 – 2.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsBUF
23
Shots on goal
31
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
19
17
Blocked shots
14
24
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
86T. TeravainenC000-400.071105020:33
98C. BedardC022+110.271326420:25
48M. GrzelcykD000-120.02110—19:59
91F. NazarC011-400.000002919:44
44W. KaiserD000-200.00010—19:43
59T. BertuzziL202+150.69200—19:17
20R. GreeneC011+110.100003318:17
72A. VlasicD101-310.03040—17:18
55A. LevshunovD000010.01022—16:39
46L. CrevierD000-230.02120—16:25
95I. MikheyevR000-320.13000—16:05
8R. DonatoC000-330.101002515:11
34C. DachC000-320.141005014:52
5C. MurphyD000-110.03100—14:29
6S. RinzelD022-310.01030—12:20
11O. MooreC000-400.000005012:09
84L. SlaggertL000000.03200—11:34
24S. LaffertyC000000.0020010011:07
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Soderblom(L)31229.7102.92-6.0860:00

Season series

BUF leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).