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Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals

FinalTV TNT, truTV·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-0. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Trevor van Riemsdyk's goal at 12:22 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.4 to 3.1; shots on goal were PIT 24, WSH 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Logan Thompson stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 3.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Ovechkin (1 A), 2. Logan Thompson (24 saves, 1.000), 3. Connor McMichael (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    L. Thompson24 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    C. McMichael2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT0801303024
WSHWSH0811326327

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.13win prob +19 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:22

3rd period

  1. WSH
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:50
  2. WSH
    snapxG 0.94Video
    0-3
    17:16

Penalties

PIT 2 PIM·WSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:48WSHMartin Fehérváry · High stickingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min
  • 18:51PITSidney Crosby · Trippingdrawn by Martin Fehérváry2 min

2nd

  • 15:37WSHMartin Fehérváry · Trippingdrawn by Egor Chinakhov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalPIT goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Trevor van Riemsdyk, 2nd 12:22 — WSH 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McMichael · Goal · xG 0.94P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.20I. Miroshnichenko · On goal · xG 0.20C. McMichael · Goal · xG 0.17T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.16T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.14T. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.13I. Miroshnichenko · Missed · xG 0.12A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.12A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.10P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.09B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.08A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.08I. Protas · On goal · xG 0.07I. Protas · On goal · xG 0.07T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.06T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.06T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Sourdif · On goal · xG 0.04R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.04B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.02R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.02B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01I. Miroshnichenko · Missed · xG 0.01I. Protas · On goal · xG 0.00T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.00T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 3.4 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsWSH
3.10 G
All situations
2 G3.4
2.50 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT63%37%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.05 – 2.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsWSH
24
Shots on goal
27
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
10
Hits
18
13
Blocked shots
15
15
Giveaways
19
8
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. St. IvanyD000010.06200—21:22
17B. RustR000-200.04110—20:21
87S. CrosbyC000-220.572025319:56
65E. KarlssonD000-200.01010—19:56
28P. WotherspoonD000-100.00120—19:52
7I. SolovyovD000010.06120—19:45
67R. RakellR000-220.320204418:47
71E. MalkinC000-220.11000018:22
58K. LetangD000-100.00000—17:39
59E. ChinakhovR000-230.23010—17:00
49S. GirardD000-100.00020—17:00
18T. NovakC000-140.400105016:29
13K. HayesR000020.340005013:55
16J. BrazeauR000020.54010—13:24
25E. SoderblomL000020.24200—13:22
41V. KoivunenR000010.02000—11:39
15J. KoppanenL000000.001004410:07
2R. McGroartyR000020.14000—09:55
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(L)26242.9232.47+0.4759:09

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).