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Hurricanes at Mammoth
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV FDSNSO, Utah16·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Utah Mammoth 4-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Staal's goal at 13:23 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 5.2 to 3.8; shots on goal were CAR 29, UTA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 2.8 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Jordan Staal (1 G, 1 A), 2. Dylan Guenther (1 G), 3. Frederik Andersen (26 saves, .963).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    UTA
    D. Guenther1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    F. Andersen26 saves, .963

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR21205212429
UTAUTA0807112127

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:25
  2. CAR
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    13:23

3rd period

  1. UTA
    slapxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    2:42
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(27)
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +4 ptsVideo
    3-1
    15:31
  3. CAR
    wristxG 0.92Video
    4-1
    19:37

Penalties

CAR 15 PIM·UTA 11 PIM

1st

  • 3:27UTAMikhail Sergachev · Holdingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 16:34CARSebastian Aho · Hookingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 18:41CARSkyler Brind'Amour · High stickingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min

2nd

  • 5:32CARShayne Gostisbehere · Slashingdrawn by Liam O'Brien2 min
  • 13:41UTANick Schmaltz · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min

3rd

  • 2:01CARSebastian Aho · High stickingdrawn by Nate Schmidt2 min
  • 3:41CARAndrei Svechnikov · High stickingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 5:47UTAMacKenzie Weegar · Hookingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 14:48UTADmitri Simashev · Fightingdrawn by Charles Alexis Legault5 min
  • 14:48CARCharles Alexis Legault · Fightingdrawn by Dmitri Simashev5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalCAR goalFinal: UTA 0%

Biggest swing: Jordan Staal, 1st 13:23 — CAR 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.28A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.25B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.24D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.20D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.18D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.17D. Guenther · Goal · xG 0.16D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.15L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.14N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.13K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.13C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.11L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.11B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.11L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.10M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.09N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.09L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.08N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.08J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.08K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.07L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.07K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.06L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.06N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.06D. Simashev · On goal · xG 0.06N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.05D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.05K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.05M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.04L. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.04D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.04D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.04L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.04M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.03L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.02M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.02N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.01S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.01D. Simashev · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.01D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA1 G · 3.8 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsUTA
5.23 G
All situations
1 G3.8
1.82 G
Even strength
0 G2.3
1.11 G
Power play
1 G1.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR39%61%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.06 – 3.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsUTA
29
Shots on goal
27
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/3
Power play
1/5
15
Penalty minutes
11
17
Hits
24
18
Blocked shots
16
10
Giveaways
18
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD011+210.01050—26:54
26S. WalkerD101+220.98420—25:00
21A. NikishinD000+100.00230—21:28
4S. GostisbehereD022+120.25002—20:10
11J. StaalC112+240.860207019:06
20S. AhoC101+150.670244418:33
24S. JarvisR000+120.59000—18:28
48J. MartinookL022+200.4001010017:48
37A. SvechnikovR101+150.66202—16:37
27N. EhlersL022+120.56000—14:59
76S. Brind'AmourC000010.061025614:24
23J. SlavinL000+100.020005014:04
50E. RobinsonL000010.06200—12:40
29B. NadeauL000000.00300—12:20
62C. LegaultD000000.02115—12:17
6M. ReillyD000020.01120—10:31
82J. KotkaniemiC000010.020005009:52
44N. DeslauriersL000010.01100—06:08
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)27261.9633.84+2.8460:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).