Carolina Hurricanes at Utah Mammoth
Recap
written from the game dataThe Carolina Hurricanes beat the Utah Mammoth 4-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Staal's goal at 13:23 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 5.2 to 3.8; shots on goal were CAR 29, UTA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 2.8 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Jordan Staal (1 G, 1 A), 2. Dylan Guenther (1 G), 3. Frederik Andersen (26 saves, .963).
Three stars
- ★J. Staal1 G, 1 A

- ★★D. Guenther1 G

- ★★★F. Andersen26 saves, .963

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-04:25
2-013:23
3rd period
2-12:42
3-115:31
4-119:37
Penalties
1st
- 3:27
Mikhail Sergachev · Holdingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
- 16:34
Sebastian Aho · Hookingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
- 18:41
Skyler Brind'Amour · High stickingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min
2nd
- 5:32
Shayne Gostisbehere · Slashingdrawn by Liam O'Brien2 min
- 13:41
Nick Schmaltz · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
3rd
- 2:01
Sebastian Aho · High stickingdrawn by Nate Schmidt2 min
- 3:41
Andrei Svechnikov · High stickingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
- 5:47
MacKenzie Weegar · Hookingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
- 14:48
Dmitri Simashev · Fightingdrawn by Charles Alexis Legault5 min
- 14:48
Charles Alexis Legault · Fightingdrawn by Dmitri Simashev5 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jordan Staal, 1st 13:23 — 60% → 76%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 5.23 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.8
- 1.82 G
- Even strength
- 0 G2.3
- 1.11 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.6
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.06 – 3.75
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 59%
- Faceoffs
- 41%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 1/5
- 15
- Penalty minutes
- 11
- 17
- Hits
- 24
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 10
- Giveaways
- 18
- 4
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
CAR leads 2-0
4@
5Final
4@
1this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















