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Mammoth at Hurricanes
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
4
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
FinalTV FDSNSO, Utah16·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Utah Mammoth 5-4. The Hurricanes came back from two goals down. The Mammoth led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Staal's goal at 19:30 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 99%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.6 to 2.7; shots on goal were UTA 25, CAR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 1.4 goals below expected; Brandon Bussi stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Shayne Gostisbehere (2 G, 1 A), 2. Andrei Svechnikov (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jordan Staal (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Gostisbehere2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA0831314425
CARCAR19110314533

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(19)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.26win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:04

2nd period

  1. UTA
    K. Yamamoto(6)
    J. McBain (12)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:10
  2. UTA
    K. Yamamoto(7)
    N. DeSimone (3), M. Carcone (10)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    8:24
  3. CAR
    S. Gostisbehere(7)PPG
    A. Svechnikov (26), S. Jarvis (17)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:36
  4. UTA
    J. Peterka(19)
    B. Hayton (11)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-2
    17:55

3rd period

  1. UTA
    M. Carcone(11)
    J. McBain (13), K. Yamamoto (7)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-2
    7:11
  2. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(20)PPG
    S. Gostisbehere (27), N. Ehlers (27)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-3
    18:01
  3. CAR
    S. Gostisbehere(8)
    J. Blake (16), J. Slavin (3)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +46 ptsVideo
    4-4
    18:33
  4. CAR
    J. Staal(12)
    J. Martinook (10), J. Chatfield (12)
    tip-inxG 0.49win prob +47 ptsVideo
    4-5
    19:30

Penalties

UTA 10 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

2nd

  • 0:11UTANick Schmaltz · Trippingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 14:36UTAMikhail Sergachev · Cross checkingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min
  • 16:24UTAKevin Stenlund · Cross checkingdrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min
  • 19:45CARAndrei Svechnikov · High stickingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min

3rd

  • 7:45CARSean Walker · Holdingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min
  • 14:42UTABarrett Hayton · High sticking double minordrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalUTA goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Staal, 3rd 19:30 — CAR 52% → 99%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.49A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.26A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.24J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.17W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.15T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.15L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.15L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.13J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.13J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.13A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.11S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.10J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.10S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.06S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.06L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.06J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.06S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.06J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.05J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.05S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.05J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.04S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.03A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.00K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 3.6 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsCAR
2.74 G
All situations
5 G3.6
2.54 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.20 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA35%65%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.66 – 3.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsCAR
25
Shots on goal
33
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
28
Hits
23
19
Blocked shots
8
24
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000+120.06002—24:29
6J. MarinoD000-100.00020—21:42
88N. SchmidtD000-100.00430—20:44
67L. CrouseL000-220.36710—19:50
50S. DurziD000+100.00140—19:32
8N. SchmaltzC000-120.211023119:14
9C. KellerR000-210.06000—18:11
28I. ColeD000+120.06030—17:57
22J. McBainC022+210.063107317:21
82K. StenlundC000-110.091122716:10
77J. PeterkaR101+110.2400010015:43
27B. HaytonC011+130.350046014:01
53M. CarconeL112+220.264003312:52
19D. ButL000+120.08110—12:44
56K. YamamotoR213+250.6700010011:25
57N. DeSimoneD011+110.18010—11:19
38L. O'BrienC000000.01400010:50
13B. TanevL000000.04220—07:25
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)33285.8483.63-1.3760:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).