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St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Blues led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Kyrou's goal at 12:06 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 48% to 67%. Expected goals were close — STL 3.1, CHI 3.2; shots on goal were STL 28, CHI 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Arvid Soderblom stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ilya Mikheyev (2 G), 2. Tyler Tucker (2 A), 3. Jonatan Berggren (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    I. Mikheyev2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    T. Tucker2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Berggren2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL11331015528
CHICHI19111114334

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:26
  2. CHI
    snapxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:07

2nd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:04
  2. STL
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:10
  3. STL
    J. Kyrou(18)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-2
    12:06
  4. STL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-2
    17:20

3rd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.11win prob +5 ptsVideo
    5-2
    7:04
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.24win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-3
    13:35

Penalties

STL 4 PIM·CHI 2 PIM

1st

  • 0:37STLOskar Sundqvist · Trippingdrawn by Sacha Boisvert2 min
  • 19:46STLRobert Thomas · Holdingdrawn by Connor Bedard2 min

2nd

  • 10:30CHITyler Bertuzzi · Trippingdrawn by Jonatan Berggren2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalSTL goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Jordan Kyrou, 2nd 12:06 — STL 48% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Mikheyev · Goal · xG 0.24C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.18I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.18I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.16R. Greene · On goal · xG 0.14T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.14A. Frondell · Missed · xG 0.14R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.13C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.11R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.10R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.10A. Frondell · Missed · xG 0.10A. Frondell · On goal · xG 0.09C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.08R. Greene · On goal · xG 0.08T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.07A. Frondell · On goal · xG 0.07R. Greene · Goal · xG 0.07A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.07S. Boisvert · On goal · xG 0.07R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.07R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.06C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.06S. Rinzel · Missed · xG 0.05F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.05T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.05S. Rinzel · On goal · xG 0.04A. Frondell · On goal · xG 0.04C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.04I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.03I. Mikheyev · Goal · xG 0.03C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.03A. Frondell · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.03F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.03W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.02S. Boisvert · On goal · xG 0.02A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02R. Greene · Missed · xG 0.02A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02A. Frondell · On goal · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.02S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.01S. Rinzel · On goal · xG 0.01A. Frondell · On goal · xG 0.01C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.01R. Greene · On goal · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 3.2 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCHI
3.15 G
All situations
3 G3.2
2.74 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL41%59%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.61 – 3.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsCHI
28
Shots on goal
34
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
14
Hits
9
9
Blocked shots
12
23
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD000-120.06110—22:08
6P. BrobergD000000.00020—20:52
23L. MaillouxD011010.07100—20:26
75T. TuckerD022+140.41100—18:45
18R. ThomasC000-120.320025318:29
17C. FowlerD101+210.18000—18:20
41T. LindsteinD000010.03020—18:09
21J. SnuggerudR101-140.29020—17:35
81D. HollowayL011-140.36100—17:25
89P. BuchnevichL011020.250004015:29
22P. SuterC011+100.001105514:49
13A. ToropchenkoR101+120.2040010014:20
28O. StenbergC000000.00000014:00
63J. NeighboursL011+110.07200—13:47
29J. BerggrenR022+110.30000—13:26
54D. DvorskyR101+120.240006712:52
25J. KyrouR101010.30010—12:41
70O. SundqvistC011+100.003021412:27
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Hofer(W)34313.9123.20+0.2060:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).