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Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Justin Faulk's goal at 8:57 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.3 to 1.8; shots on goal were CHI 29, STL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Spencer Knight stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.7 goals below expected; Joel Hofer stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Justin Faulk (1 G), 2. Logan Mailloux (1 G), 3. Connor Bedard (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Faulk1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    L. Mailloux1 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    C. Bedard2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI16012111229
STLSTL2111906326

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:41
  2. STL
    snapxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:48
  3. CHI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:50

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    8:57

3rd period

  1. CHI
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +10 ptsVideo
    2-3
    14:08

Penalties

CHI 14 PIM·STL 12 PIM

1st

  • 9:06CHIColton Dach · Hookingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
  • 16:27CHIColton Dach · Fightingdrawn by Logan Mailloux5 min
  • 16:27STLLogan Mailloux · Fightingdrawn by Colton Dach5 min

2nd

  • 16:04STLDylan Holloway · Fightingdrawn by Connor Murphy5 min
  • 16:04CHIConnor Murphy · Fightingdrawn by Dylan Holloway5 min

3rd

  • 14:54STLJake Neighbours · Roughingdrawn by Connor Bedard2 min
  • 14:54CHIConnor Bedard · Roughingdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCHI goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Justin Faulk, 2nd 8:57 — STL 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Dvorsky · Missed · xG 0.26D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.16B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.14B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.14D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.12C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.11M. Luff · Goal · xG 0.11J. Faulk · Goal · xG 0.11O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.08R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.08P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.07R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.07J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.06D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.05J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.05H. McGing · On goal · xG 0.05R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.05J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.05B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.04L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.04L. Mailloux · Goal · xG 0.04C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.03P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.02D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.01T. Tucker · On goal · xG 0.01R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.01D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.01P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.01D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.00J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 2.3 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsSTL
1.82 G
All situations
3 G2.3
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI39%61%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.77 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsSTL
29
Shots on goal
26
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/0
Power play
0/1
14
Penalty minutes
12
19
Hits
30
11
Blocked shots
13
16
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55A. LevshunovD000000.00330—22:23
48M. GrzelcykD000040.05100—21:56
98C. BedardC022020.082123820:46
44W. KaiserD101+130.10010—19:40
72A. VlasicD000-200.00000—18:38
46L. CrevierD000-230.07000—18:31
28A. BurakovskyL112+110.36000—17:42
59T. BertuzziL000-330.1011010017:35
20R. GreeneC000+120.131005017:10
86T. TeravainenC000010.18010017:08
5C. MurphyD000+100.01225—17:02
95I. MikheyevR000010.26000—15:28
91F. NazarC000-110.021002515:08
8R. DonatoC000010.061105714:13
16J. DickinsonC000030.121003613:56
34C. DachC000020.04317011:27
11O. MooreC000-120.20200011:15
24S. LaffertyC000000.00100008:02
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Knight(L)26233.8852.33-0.6758:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).