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New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV FDSNDET, MSGSN·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-3. The Red Wings scored first; the Devils answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesper Bratt's goal at 16:26 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 48% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 4.3 to 3.0; shots on goal were NJD 33, DET 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 25 of 28 (.893); John Gibson stopped 28 of 32 (.875). Three stars: 1. Jesper Bratt (2 G, 1 A), 2. Emmitt Finnie (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jack Hughes (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Bratt2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    E. Finnie1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Hughes1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD18113312533
DETDET1131817328

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin (32), E. Finnie (17)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:41
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:40

2nd period

  1. DET
    snapxG 0.07win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:59
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.02win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    15:16

3rd period

  1. DET
    backhandxG 0.30win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-3
    7:00
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.38win prob +32 ptsVideo
    3-3
    11:18
  3. NJD
    J. Hughes (48), C. Brown (25)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +43 ptsVideo
    4-3
    16:26
  4. NJD
    D. Mercer(19)EN
    wristxG 0.71win prob +5 ptsVideo
    5-3
    19:00

Penalties

NJD 2 PIM·DET 0 PIM

1st

  • 3:09NJDDougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Marco Kasper2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalNJD goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Jesper Bratt, 3rd 16:26 — NJD 48% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Finnie · Goal · xG 0.30D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.18L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.18P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.15E. Finnie · On goal · xG 0.15J. Faulk · Goal · xG 0.14D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.12D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.11D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.11A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.11J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.10D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.09D. Shine · On goal · xG 0.09C. Mazur · On goal · xG 0.09D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.07E. Finnie · Missed · xG 0.07E. Finnie · Missed · xG 0.07D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.06L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.06D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.06J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.06C. Mazur · On goal · xG 0.06D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.05S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.04D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.04D. Shine · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.02M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.02S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bernard-Docker · Missed · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.01A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01E. Finnie · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.00D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.00
DET3 G · 3.0 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsDET
4.34 G
All situations
3 G3.0
3.64 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD59%41%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.50 – 2.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsDET
33
Shots on goal
28
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/0
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
0
13
Hits
21
11
Blocked shots
14
11
Giveaways
13
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
71J. SiegenthalerD011+300.00030—22:36
7D. HamiltonD022+310.18002—21:55
17S. NemecD000-240.35140—21:12
91D. MercerC101030.93000020:58
5B. DillonD000-220.08110—20:52
28T. MeierR011+140.46200—20:51
13N. HischierC011030.400004320:13
86J. HughesC112+130.410003819:47
8J. KovacevicD011+100.00210—18:42
16C. BrownR011+110.20000—18:17
63J. BrattL213+230.26000—17:01
44D. CholowskiD011+110.03000—14:49
12C. GlassC101+230.682006012:13
72N. BjugstadC000+200.00000011:56
29L. HameenahoR000030.19110—11:51
47P. CotterL000-100.0620010008:54
48B. HalonenL000-120.08200—08:04
21M. McLaughlinC000-100.000101707:49
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)28253.8932.97-0.0360:00

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).