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Red Wings at Devils
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
3
New Jersey Devils
▸4
FinalTV FDSNDETX, MSGSN·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-3. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor Brown's goal at 8:38 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 4.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were DET 35, NJD 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 2.0 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nico Hischier (1 G, 1 A), 2. Timo Meier (1 G, 1 A), 3. Connor Brown (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    N. Hischier1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    T. Meier1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    C. Brown1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET17115113335
NJDNJD391605420

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    T. Meier(7)
    S. Noesen (2), N. Hischier (11)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:54
  2. DET
    A. DeBrincat(11)
    P. Kane (9), M. Seider (12)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:33
  3. NJD
    N. Hischier(7)
    J. Bratt (17), T. Meier (10)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:58
  4. NJD
    C. Glass(4)
    L. Hughes (12), C. Brown (2)
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:04

2nd period

  1. DET
    J. van Riemsdyk(2)PPG
    A. Copp (8), E. Finnie (6)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:30
  2. NJD
    C. Brown(6)
    D. Mercer (8)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    8:38

3rd period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(13)
    L. Raymond (17), M. Seider (13)
    wristxG 0.38win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-4
    10:12

Penalties

DET 23 PIM·NJD 17 PIM

1st

  • 1:52DETJ.T. Compher · Boardingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 4:01NJDStefan Noesen · Roughingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 4:01DETJ.T. Compher · Fightingdrawn by Stefan Noesen5 min
  • 4:01NJDStefan Noesen · Fightingdrawn by J.T. Compher5 min
  • 9:21NJDDougie Hamilton · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min

2nd

  • 0:20NJDDougie Hamilton · High stickingdrawn by Emmitt Finnie2 min

3rd

  • 20:00NJDJacob Markstrom · Goalie leave crease2 min
  • 20:00NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Roughingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 20:00DETLucas Raymond · Roughingdrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler2 min
  • 20:00DETAlex DeBrincat · Roughingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
  • 20:00NJDJesper Bratt · Roughingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 20:00DETDylan Larkin · Roughingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
  • 20:00DETDylan Larkin · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalDET goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Connor Brown, 2nd 8:38 — NJD 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.17C. Glass · Goal · xG 0.17O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.16E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.15T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.14O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.13T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.13C. Brown · Goal · xG 0.12A. Gritsyuk · Missed · xG 0.10P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.10D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.09C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.09T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.08T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.07D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.04L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.03L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.01O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.00E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.00D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.00S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD4 G · 2.0 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNJD
4.63 G
All situations
4 G2.0
2.72 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
1.91 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET84%16%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.44 – 2.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNJD
35
Shots on goal
20
65%
Faceoffs
35%
1/3
Power play
0/1
23
Penalty minutes
17
22
Hits
25
20
Blocked shots
19
16
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD022+230.17170—25:04
8B. ChiarotD000-210.01220—22:12
93A. DeBrincatR101-120.66212—21:25
88P. KaneR011-250.45010—20:52
71D. LarkinC101041.0010127520:40
20A. JohanssonD000000.00210—20:23
23L. RaymondL011040.29012—18:51
44A. Sandin-PellikkaD000000.04000—16:44
58E. FinnieC011020.2030010016:27
52T. HamonicD000-300.03140—15:51
37J. CompherL000-230.420176315:39
21J. van RiemsdykL101050.70200—14:40
18A. CoppC011000.141007113:11
25J. Bernard-DockerD000-140.29010—12:22
22M. AppletonC000000.06210012:09
92M. KasperC000-110.04400011:58
48J. BerggrenR000000.01100—10:58
29N. DanielsonC000010.040002510:44
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(L)20164.8002.04-1.9657:50

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).