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Flames at Avalanche
NHL

Calgary Flames at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
FinalTV KUSA, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Calgary Flames 3-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Martin Necas's goal at 15:01 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 5.5 to 2.1; shots on goal were CGY 29, COL 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Martin Necas (1 G, 2 A), 2. Mackenzie Blackwood (28 saves, .966), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Necas1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Blackwood28 saves, .966
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY0809112129
COLCOL11212019341

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    G. Landeskog(13)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (73), M. Necas (59)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    18:44

2nd period

  1. COL
    M. Necas(38)
    N. MacKinnon (74), B. Burns (22)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:01

3rd period

  1. CGY
    T. Gross(1)
    M. Gridin (13), M. Coronato (25)
    backhandxG 0.28win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:08
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(52)EN
    M. Necas (60)
    backhandxG 0.91win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:05

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 18:37CGYJohn Beecher · Hookingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min

2nd

  • 4:33COLNathan MacKinnon · Slashingdrawn by Zach Whitecloud2 min
  • 4:47CGYMatt Coronato · Slashingdrawn by Jack Drury2 min

3rd

  • 5:56CGYMatt Coronato · Hookingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min
  • 14:13COLJoel Kiviranta · High stickingdrawn by Zayne Parekh2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalCGY goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Martin Necas, 2nd 15:01 — COL 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.91V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.42N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.35N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.22R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.22G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.21M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.20V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.16N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.16B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.15J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.15N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.15P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.14R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.13B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.13M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.11A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.10G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.09M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.08J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.08M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.06J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.06B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.05G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.05S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.05B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.05G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.05B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.04S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.04R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.01N. Blankenburg · Missed · xG 0.01S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.00S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.00P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 5.5 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsCOL
2.11 G
All situations
2 G5.5
1.61 G
Even strength
1 G3.5
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 105 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY19%81%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 4.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsCOL
29
Shots on goal
41
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
11
19
Blocked shots
12
14
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28Z. WhitecloudD000000.03130—23:31
3O. MaattaD000010.03020—22:19
37Y. KuznetsovD000020.06220—20:31
48H. BrzustewiczD000010.01400—19:27
27M. CoronatoR011050.550145019:15
16M. FrostC000020.111006019:11
92M. GridinR011020.07100—18:48
86J. FarabeeL000010.02010—18:31
19Z. ParekhD000-110.12010—17:57
11M. BacklundC000020.120103317:16
17Y. SharangovichC000010.08000015:39
47C. ZaryC000030.20100014:18
39T. GrossC101-110.282108013:15
18J. BeecherC000020.211323812:50
95V. OlofssonL000-100.03000—12:07
94B. PachalD000-110.04210—11:59
36A. SunievL000030.13000—11:56
43A. KlapkaR000-110.02430—09:25
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(L)40382.9504.15+2.1557:38

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).