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Flames at Avalanche
NHL

Calgary Flames at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸9
FinalTV ALT, Prime·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Calgary Flames 9-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nazem Kadri's goal at 6:31 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 69% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 5.7 to 3.3; shots on goal were CGY 29, COL 49. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Devin Cooley stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 1.3 goals below expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nazem Kadri (2 G), 2. Parker Kelly (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jack Drury (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. Kadri2 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    P. Kelly1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    J. Drury1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY0918112229
COLCOL52617316949

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    J. Drury(10)
    P. Kelly (13), S. Malinski (29)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:31
  2. COL
    N. Kadri(15)PPG
    M. Necas (56), C. Makar (53)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:31
  3. COL
    N. Kadri(16)PPG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.48win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    7:37
  4. COL
    G. Landeskog(11)
    B. Nelson (27), V. Nichushkin (28)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-4
    9:19
  5. COL
    P. Kelly(18)
    C. Makar (54), J. Drury (15)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-5
    15:50

2nd period

  1. CGY
    B. Othmann(2)
    J. Beecher (4)
    slapxG 0.36win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-5
    3:37
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(49)PPG
    C. Makar (55), B. Nelson (28)
    slapxG 0.06Video
    1-6
    19:25

3rd period

  1. COL
    M. Necas(35)
    N. MacKinnon (70), A. Lehkonen (25)
    wristxG 0.17Video
    1-7
    6:24
  2. COL
    S. Malinski(5)
    P. Kelly (14), J. Drury (16)
    backhandxG 0.17Video
    1-8
    8:10
  3. CGY
    R. Strome(7)
    Y. Sharangovich (14), V. Olofsson (17)
    wristxG 0.19Video
    2-8
    12:53
  4. COL
    A. Lehkonen(20)
    N. MacKinnon (71), M. Necas (57)
    snapxG 0.30Video
    2-9
    16:48

Penalties

CGY 8 PIM·COL 2 PIM

1st

  • 5:28CGYBrayden Pachal · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jack Drury2 min
  • 6:08CGYBlake Coleman · Slashingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min

2nd

  • 8:09COLBrett Kulak · High stickingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min
  • 18:32CGYZach Whitecloud · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min

3rd

  • 2:03CGYMatt Coronato · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalCGY goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Nazem Kadri, 1st 6:31 — COL 69% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.48M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.30A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.30J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.23N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.19A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.19L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.18N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.18M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.17N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.17S. Malinski · Goal · xG 0.17B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.17G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.16P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.16B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.12J. Drury · Goal · xG 0.11N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.10G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.10A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.10N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.10G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.09P. Kelly · Goal · xG 0.09R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.09D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.08M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.07S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.06M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.06J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.05J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.05C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.04J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.04B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.03J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.03J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.02B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.00V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.00
COL9 G · 5.7 xG · 73 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsCOL
3.32 G
All situations
9 G5.7
2.92 G
Even strength
6 G4.6
0.40 G
Power play
3 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 118 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY23%77%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.27 – 5.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsCOL
29
Shots on goal
49
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/1
Power play
3/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
15
Hits
15
15
Blocked shots
12
15
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28Z. WhitecloudD000-210.16112—24:04
7K. BahlD000-200.00110—23:10
3O. MaattaD000010.01020—22:12
48H. BrzustewiczD000020.02100—19:56
11M. BacklundC000000.240006117:56
20B. ColemanL000060.31212—16:24
17Y. SharangovichC011010.1510010016:12
22R. StromeC101-120.200206116:09
19Z. ParekhD000-200.04110—15:37
86J. FarabeeL000020.46000—15:17
27M. CoronatoR000-120.24102—15:00
95V. OlofssonL011030.29000—14:45
16M. FrostC000-210.311106414:07
92M. GridinR000-110.08010—13:55
94B. PachalD000-210.08122—13:19
18J. BeecherC011-130.220105712:47
78B. OthmannL101-310.41200—11:55
43A. KlapkaR000-320.11320—11:50
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1D. Cooley33285.8483.68-1.3250:41
32D. Wolf(L)16124.7502.02-1.9809:19

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).