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Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV SN-PIT, MSGSN·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New Jersey Devils 5-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tommy Novak's goal at 11:43 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were PIT 30, NJD 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 19 of 21 (.905); Jake Allen stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Egor Chinakhov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Evgeni Malkin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sidney Crosby (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Chinakhov1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    E. Malkin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT1152827530
NJDNJD0102605221

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    snapxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:53

2nd period

  1. NJD
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:51
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.10win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:43
  3. PIT
    R. Shea (26), S. Crosby (44)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    11:52
  4. NJD
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    15:07

3rd period

  1. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    6:50
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.47win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-2
    17:00

Penalties

PIT 2 PIM·NJD 2 PIM

1st

  • 5:55PITAnthony Mantha · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 9:02NJDSimon Nemec · Trippingdrawn by Elmer Soderblom2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalPIT goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Tommy Novak, 2nd 11:43 — PIT 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Cotter · Goal · xG 0.24J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.16T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.14T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.14J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.14J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.14C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.13C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.11J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.07L. Hameenaho · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.06N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.06T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.05D. Cholowski · On goal · xG 0.05N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.05M. McLaughlin · Missed · xG 0.04L. Hameenaho · Missed · xG 0.03S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.03J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hameenaho · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hameenaho · Missed · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.00J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.00L. Hameenaho · On goal · xG 0.00D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 1.9 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNJD
4.14 G
All situations
2 G1.9
2.64 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT63%37%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.58 – 1.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNJD
30
Shots on goal
21
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
7
Hits
12
8
Blocked shots
18
15
Giveaways
19
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD112020.48000—22:30
28P. WotherspoonD011010.01110—21:40
58K. LetangD011+100.01010—20:15
49S. GirardD000+100.03010—18:50
67R. RakellR000+180.850105018:06
5R. SheaD011+220.05000—18:00
71E. MalkinC112+320.93000017:13
75C. CliftonD000+210.01010—16:54
17B. RustR101+120.15100—16:21
18T. NovakC101+130.280007516:21
39A. ManthaR000-110.05002—16:02
55N. AcciariC011000.020006414:51
81B. KindelC000+110.020005714:47
87S. CrosbyC022+240.800104714:43
59E. ChinakhovR123+220.32000—14:23
16J. BrazeauR000-100.00000—14:19
25E. SoderblomL000000.00210—11:32
85A. HayesR000010.06310—11:13
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)21192.9051.93-0.0760:00

Season series

PIT leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).