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New Jersey Devils at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV SN-PIT, MSGSN·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New Jersey Devils 4-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor Dewar's goal at 5:23 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 69% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were NJD 29, PIT 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 0.9 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (1 G), 2. Connor Dewar (1 G, 1 A), 3. Stuart Skinner (28 saves, .966).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin1 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    C. Dewar1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    S. Skinner28 saves, .966

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD01106112129
PITPIT1721715429

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    R. Rakell (10), S. Crosby (24)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:39

2nd period

  1. PIT
    R. Rakell (11), K. Letang (19)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:23
  2. PIT
    E. Malkin(9)PPG
    slapxG 0.18win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-3
    19:07

3rd period

  1. NJD
    L. Hughes(5)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-3
    2:55
  2. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-4
    13:26

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·PIT 4 PIM

2nd

  • 3:16PITConnor Dewar · High stickingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
  • 17:16NJDTimo Meier · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Shea2 min
  • 17:38NJDConnor Brown · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

3rd

  • 1:32PITEvgeni Malkin · Slashingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min
  • 5:30NJDBrett Pesce · Trippingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalNJD goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Connor Dewar, 2nd 5:23 — PIT 69% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.29B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.20E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.18R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.16E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.14R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.14R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.13R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.12R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.11B. Lizotte · Goal · xG 0.10R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.10C. Dewar · Goal · xG 0.10E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.09R. Shea · Missed · xG 0.07B. Kindel · Missed · xG 0.07B. Kindel · Missed · xG 0.07J. Brazeau · Missed · xG 0.07E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.06N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.06J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.06B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.06T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.05B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.05K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.04E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.03R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.02R. Shea · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.02R. Shea · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01R. Shea · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.00R. Shea · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT4 G · 3.1 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsPIT
2.31 G
All situations
4 G3.1
1.80 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.51 G
Power play
1 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD39%61%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 2.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsPIT
29
Shots on goal
29
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
10
19
Blocked shots
16
20
Giveaways
23
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
71J. SiegenthalerD000010.01030—22:56
7D. HamiltonD011-120.03200—20:52
13N. HischierC000-130.211107520:47
43L. HughesD101-110.10220—20:15
5B. DillonD000-110.03600—18:26
63J. BrattL000-120.20000—18:16
17S. NemecD000-130.12010—17:49
91D. MercerC000-230.210102217:37
22B. PesceD000-200.13022—17:20
86J. HughesC011-130.35000017:14
28T. MeierR000-140.2212210016:25
16C. BrownR000010.0710210016:21
81A. GritsyukR000-220.14000—14:44
12C. GlassC000020.362206313:32
47P. CotterL000010.18220—13:22
14L. GlendeningC000000.002101310:47
18O. PalatL000000.00510—09:13
11S. NoesenR000-100.0011010008:16
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)29254.8623.07-0.9359:57

Season series

PIT leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).