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Blue Jackets at Sabres
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
0
Buffalo Sabres
▸5
FinalTV FDSNOH, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-0. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Doan's goal at 7:19 of the third period, which took the Sabres' chances from 80% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 3.5 to 2.3; shots on goal were CBJ 37, BUF 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Jet Greaves stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.2 goals below expected; Colten Ellis stopped 37 of 37 (1.000), 3.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Colten Ellis (37 saves, 1.000), 2. Josh Doan (2 G), 3. Peyton Krebs (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    C. Ellis37 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J. Doan2 G
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    P. Krebs1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ010014013037
BUFBUF11004410524

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    P. Krebs(12)
    J. Norris (20)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:41

3rd period

  1. BUF
    J. Doan(24)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    7:19
  2. BUF
    J. Quinn(20)
    L. Stanley (15), J. Zucker (20)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-3
    13:21
  3. BUF
    J. Doan(25)
    Z. Benson (28), J. Norris (21)
    wristxG 0.23Video
    0-4
    13:46
  4. BUF
    R. Dahlin(19)EN
    L. Stanley (16), T. Kozak (3)
    wristxG 0.53Video
    0-5
    16:55

Penalties

CBJ 4 PIM·BUF 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:47CBJAdam Fantilli · Slashingdrawn by Jack Quinn2 min
  • 15:42BUFOwen Power · Trippingdrawn by Adam Fantilli2 min

2nd

  • 12:45CBJConor Garland · Trippingdrawn by Jack Quinn2 min
  • 15:23BUFZach Benson · Roughingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min

3rd

  • 2:31BUFJordan Greenway · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:47BUFTage Thompson · Hookingdrawn by Kent Johnson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalCBJ goalFinal: BUF 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Doan, 3rd 7:19 — BUF 80% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Dahlin · Goal · xG 0.53J. Doan · Goal · xG 0.23A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.19J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.14J. Quinn · Goal · xG 0.11J. Doan · Goal · xG 0.11T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.09J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.07T. Kozak · On goal · xG 0.07T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.07T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.06L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.06O. Power · On goal · xG 0.04P. Krebs · Goal · xG 0.04B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.03T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.03J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Kozak · On goal · xG 0.02A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.02O. Power · On goal · xG 0.02J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.01J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.01M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.00M. Samuelsson · Missed · xG 0.00
BUF5 G · 2.3 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsBUF
3.50 G
All situations
4 G2.3
2.10 G
Even strength
4 G1.5
1.40 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ76%24%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.37 – 1.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsBUF
37
Shots on goal
24
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
15
9
Blocked shots
20
16
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD000-350.20000—28:46
9I. ProvorovD000-450.14000—24:41
3C. CoyleC000-400.126004423:04
86K. MarchenkoR000-120.12000—21:58
19A. FantilliC000-250.422225021:25
5D. MateychukD000-140.05010—18:06
17M. MarchmentL000-230.44200—17:56
15D. FabbroD000000.00020—16:30
44E. GudbransonD000-200.05130—15:46
23S. MonahanC000-110.180006915:25
4C. SillingerC000-210.0210010013:37
21I. LundestromC000000.25000013:29
38B. JennerC000-130.265008212:50
83C. GarlandR000-140.65002—12:39
43D. HeinenL000010.11100—11:39
6E. ZamulaD000000.00010—10:37
11M. WoodL000-110.12000—10:22
91K. JohnsonC000-120.35000009:18
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
73J. Greaves(L)23194.8261.82-2.1857:52

Season series

CBJ leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).