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Sabres at Blue Jackets
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
1
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸5
FinalTV FDSNOH, MSG-B·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-1. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dmitri Voronkov's goal at 17:12 of the first period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 5.0 to 3.6; shots on goal were BUF 33, CBJ 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.1 goals below expected; Jet Greaves stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 4.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jet Greaves (32 saves, .970), 2. Denton Mateychuk (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brendan Gaunce (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    J. Greaves32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    D. Mateychuk1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    B. Gaunce1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF110011012133
CBJCBJ31311418535

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    D. Mateychuk(8)
    B. Jenner (12), Z. Werenski (27)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:00
  2. BUF
    J. Doan(12)
    J. Norris (8), O. Power (9)
    snapxG 0.31win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:26
  3. CBJ
    B. Gaunce(2)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:04
  4. CBJ
    D. Voronkov(14)
    I. Provorov (10), D. Severson (13)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    17:12

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    M. Olivier(4)
    Z. Aston-Reese (4), D. Severson (14)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-4
    8:04

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    C. Sillinger(5)EN
    D. Mateychuk (11), Z. Werenski (28)
    snapxG 0.71Video
    1-5
    11:46

Penalties

BUF 6 PIM·CBJ 14 PIM

1st

  • 4:15CBJDamon Severson · Hookingdrawn by Noah Ostlund2 min
  • 9:08CBJMathieu Olivier · Roughingdrawn by Josh Norris2 min
  • 9:08BUFJosh Norris · Roughingdrawn by Mathieu Olivier2 min
  • 11:52BUFJacob Bryson · Trippingdrawn by Zachary Aston-Reese2 min
  • 13:41CBJKent Johnson · Hookingdrawn by Mattias Samuelsson2 min
  • 18:01CBJMathieu Olivier · Cross checkingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min

2nd

  • 19:40CBJDante Fabbro · Slashingdrawn by Ryan McLeod2 min

3rd

  • 10:36CBJIvan Provorov · Holdingdrawn by Zach Benson2 min
  • 10:36BUFZach Benson · Embellishment2 min
  • 14:33CBJIvan Provorov · Interferencedrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalBUF goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Dmitri Voronkov, 1st 17:12 — CBJ 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Sillinger · Goal · xG 0.71D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.23M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.21C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.20C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.18I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.15K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.14A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.12C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.12D. Voronkov · Goal · xG 0.12A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.11B. Gaunce · Goal · xG 0.10K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.10C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.10D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.08A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.07D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.07K. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.06K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.05M. Olivier · Goal · xG 0.05B. Gaunce · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.04I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Olivier · Missed · xG 0.04C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.04B. Gaunce · Missed · xG 0.03B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.03B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.03K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.03A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.03I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.03D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.02M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.01J. Greaves · On goal · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mateychuk · Goal · xG 0.01D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.01D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Olivier · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Christiansen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.00D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.00I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.00B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ5 G · 3.6 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsCBJ
5.01 G
All situations
4 G3.6
2.91 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
1.80 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 115 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF78%22%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.94 – 2.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsCBJ
33
Shots on goal
35
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/5
Power play
0/1
6
Penalty minutes
14
15
Hits
23
15
Blocked shots
13
21
Giveaways
14
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD000-310.16210—25:30
4B. ByramD000-230.47110—24:33
72T. ThompsonC000-340.552205722:42
25O. PowerD011000.11100—21:41
91J. DoanR101-210.63000—21:30
23M. SamuelssonD000040.25100—20:59
89A. TuchR000-250.8321010019:49
9J. NorrisC011-220.570225317:38
71R. McLeodC000020.280103316:59
6Z. BensonL000-130.42112—16:39
22J. QuinnR000030.32010—15:53
19P. KrebsC000-110.01030014:28
86N. OstlundC000010.18000012:36
78J. BrysonD000-110.01112—09:59
73Z. MetsaD000000.00010—09:46
12J. GreenwayL000-100.00100—08:36
44J. DunneC000-110.192008808:15
29B. MalenstynL000-110.02100—07:53
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(L)34304.8822.90-1.1058:34

Season series

CBJ leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).