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Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV TNT, truTV·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the San Jose Sharks 5-2. The Sharks scored first; the Oilers answered. The Oilers led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 5:53 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were EDM 26, SJS 14. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 8 of 10 (.800); Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (3 G, 2 A), 2. Evan Bouchard (2 A), 3. Jack Roslovic (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid3 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    E. Bouchard2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    J. Roslovic1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM2831107526
SJSSJS131704214

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    D. Orlov (32), W. Smith (33)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:27
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(45)PPG
    pokexG 0.08win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:18
  3. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.18win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:38

2nd period

  1. EDM
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-1
    3:33
  2. SJS
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    4:37
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.17win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    5:53
  4. EDM
    wristxG 0.16win prob +9 ptsVideo
    5-2
    14:13

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:38EDMserved by J. Roslovic · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 5:15SJSMichael Misa · Holdingdrawn by Jake Walman2 min
  • 13:43EDMMatt Savoie · Hookingdrawn by Vincent Desharnais2 min
  • 17:18SJSVincent Desharnais · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 2:31SJSMacklin Celebrini · Trippingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
  • 9:28EDMserved by J. Roslovic · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalEDM goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 2nd 5:53 — EDM 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.25K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.21K. Sherwood · Goal · xG 0.15T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.13W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.12W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.11M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.11T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.11I. Chernyshov · Missed · xG 0.10M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.10M. Misa · On goal · xG 0.08K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.08W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.05M. Celebrini · Goal · xG 0.04W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.03M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.03M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.02S. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.01S. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.01W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.00N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 1.9 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsSJS
2.45 G
All situations
2 G1.9
1.62 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.63 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM60%40%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.37 – 1.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsSJS
26
Shots on goal
14
49%
Faceoffs
51%
3/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
33
Hits
19
12
Blocked shots
15
13
Giveaways
21
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD022+100.10000—22:32
25D. NurseD000010.00310—21:17
97C. McDavidC325+280.660105021:10
5C. MurphyD000+110.00220—20:08
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011020.131002519:31
96J. WalmanD000000.04010—18:14
14M. EkholmD011+100.00020—17:39
49T. EmbersonD000-110.01200—16:57
92V. PodkolzinR112+130.22220—16:48
42K. KapanenR000010.27100—16:45
22M. SavoieC000+130.20002016:35
10T. FredericC000-110.01700015:10
19A. HenriqueC000010.001205713:23
28J. RoslovicC112+120.403007512:48
34C. DachC000-100.00700012:27
16J. DickinsonC000000.100104512:06
81J. SamanskiC000-120.231006711:19
46M. JonesL000+100.00300—10:22
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(W)1082.8001.69-0.3140:00
35T. Jarry4401.0000.19+0.1920:00

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).