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San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV NBCSCA, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the San Jose Sharks 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Jones's goal at 4:49 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals were close — SJS 3.4, EDM 3.2; shots on goal were SJS 30, EDM 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 1.8 goals below expected; Connor Ingram stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Max Jones (1 G), 2. Adam Henrique (2 A), 3. Connor Murphy (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    M. Jones1 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    A. Henrique2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. Murphy1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS1821507330
EDMEDM310012215537

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:24
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.14win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:00
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:15
  4. EDM
    snapxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-3
    14:18

2nd period

  1. SJS
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    8:17
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.16win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-3
    14:36

3rd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.27win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-4
    4:49
  2. EDM
    M. Savoie (17), M. Ekholm (31)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-5
    8:12

Penalties

SJS 8 PIM·EDM 2 PIM

1st

  • 1:51SJSJohn Klingberg · Holdingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min
  • 3:31EDMZach Hyman · High stickingdrawn by Vincent Desharnais2 min
  • 9:10SJSVincent Desharnais · Trippingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min

3rd

  • 0:31SJSMacklin Celebrini · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 18:11SJSKiefer Sherwood · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalSJS goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Max Jones, 3rd 4:49 — EDM 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.28M. Jones · Goal · xG 0.27J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.19Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.18Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.17C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.17J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.16M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.15R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.15C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.12V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.11R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.09E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.07A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.07J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.07E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.06J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.05C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.05M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.04V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.04V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.04V. Podkolzin · Goal · xG 0.04T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.03A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.03J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · Goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM5 G · 3.2 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsEDM
3.43 G
All situations
5 G3.2
3.23 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.20 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS53%47%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.29 – 3.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsEDM
30
Shots on goal
37
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
22
Hits
17
16
Blocked shots
8
15
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
38M. FerraroD011020.02020—22:56
71M. CelebriniC000-120.121025322:51
6S. DickinsonD000-120.19210—21:00
9D. OrlovD112020.18110—20:09
21A. WennbergC011020.090004719:19
5V. DesharnaisD000-100.02122—18:49
51C. GrafR000020.19200—17:09
4N. LeddyD000030.04040—17:05
3J. KlingbergD000010.08102—16:50
44K. SherwoodL112+320.45202—16:29
72W. EklundL000-300.16000—15:32
77M. MisaC000-320.080102915:32
84P. RegendaL101+340.49610—14:26
73T. ToffoliC000-330.38010013:34
2W. SmithC000-110.2900010013:27
81A. GaudetteR011+220.550103311:01
23B. GoodrowC000000.04300009:51
63Z. OstapchukC000000.003203308:56
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Nedeljkovic(L)37325.8653.24-1.7658:25

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).