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Sabres at Rangers
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸5
New York Rangers
3
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the New York Rangers 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Rangers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Zucker's goal at 7:14 of the third period, which took the Sabres' chances from 48% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 4.3 to 2.2; shots on goal were BUF 27, NYR 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 0.8 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jason Zucker (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan McLeod (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alexis Lafrenière (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    J. Zucker1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BUF
    R. McLeod1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Lafrenière2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF2110838527
NYRNYR1122701320

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    R. McLeod(13)
    J. Zucker (19), C. Timmins (8)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:40
  2. BUF
    Z. Benson(11)
    R. Dahlin (53), B. Byram (31)
    deflectedxG 0.29win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    8:58
  3. NYR
    A. Lafrenière(23)PPG
    A. Fox (43), J. Miller (34)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    19:21

2nd period

  1. NYR
    A. Lafrenière(24)
    D. Fortescue (2)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    2:57
  2. NYR
    A. Fox(9)PPG
    V. Trocheck (37), M. Zibanejad (43)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    14:44

3rd period

  1. BUF
    A. Tuch(31)
    P. Krebs (27), T. Thompson (41)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +27 ptsVideo
    3-3
    5:51
  2. BUF
    J. Zucker(24)
    R. McLeod (40)
    wristxG 0.56win prob +30 ptsVideo
    4-3
    7:14
  3. BUF
    Z. Benson(12)EN
    J. Doan (26), J. Norris (19)
    wristxG 0.92win prob +5 ptsVideo
    5-3
    18:45

Penalties

BUF 6 PIM·NYR 8 PIM

1st

  • 18:24BUFRyan McLeod · Trippingdrawn by Adam Sykora2 min

2nd

  • 0:23NYRAdam Fox · Trippingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min
  • 14:14BUFPeyton Krebs · Hookingdrawn by Tye Kartye2 min
  • 16:31NYRVincent Trocheck · Slashingdrawn by Bowen Byram2 min
  • 17:35NYRVladislav Gavrikov · Cross checkingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

3rd

  • 10:00NYRWill Borgen · Holding the stickdrawn by Beck Malenstyn2 min
  • 10:44BUFJosh Norris · Hookingdrawn by Tye Kartye2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalBUF goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Jason Zucker, 3rd 7:14 — BUF 48% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.28W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.23M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.18A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.17W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.16T. Kartye · Missed · xG 0.12M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.11J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.11A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.09A. Fox · Goal · xG 0.08G. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.08N. Laba · On goal · xG 0.08A. Sykora · On goal · xG 0.07V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.07T. Kartye · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.04J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.02B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.02V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.01B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.01M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fortescue · Missed · xG 0.01J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR3 G · 2.2 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsNYR
4.34 G
All situations
3 G2.2
2.24 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
1.20 G
Power play
2 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF70%30%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.27 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsNYR
27
Shots on goal
20
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/4
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
19
Hits
26
19
Blocked shots
11
17
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD011+220.18010—24:30
72T. ThompsonC011+120.561106322:18
4B. ByramD011+120.04010—22:07
23M. SamuelssonD000+100.01310—20:39
25O. PowerD000+110.01010—20:09
22J. QuinnR000+210.24000—19:24
89A. TuchR101+110.090206319:05
17J. ZuckerL112+241.030105018:14
71R. McLeodC112+120.110126217:10
21C. TimminsD011+210.01040—16:26
19P. KrebsC011+120.07312015:04
9J. NorrisC011+220.300222214:46
91J. DoanR011+110.15000—13:08
6Z. BensonL202+131.42010—12:59
48T. KozakC000000.003202510:50
8M. KesselringD000+130.03100—10:37
29B. MalenstynL000000.04500—10:15
70T. PearsonL000000.00300—08:52
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(W)20173.8502.15-0.8560:00

Season series

BUF leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).