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Sabres at Rangers
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸5
New York Rangers
2
FinalTV MSG-B, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the New York Rangers 5-2. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mattias Samuelsson's goal at 14:38 of the third period, which took the Sabres' chances from 70% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 4.3 to 2.7; shots on goal were BUF 21, NYR 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Colten Ellis stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jason Zucker (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mattias Samuelsson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Colten Ellis (30 saves, .938).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    J. Zucker1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BUF
    M. Samuelsson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    C. Ellis30 saves, .938

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF1421423521
NYRNYR07111114232

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    J. Doan(14)
    M. Samuelsson (15), J. Zucker (10)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:07

2nd period

  1. BUF
    A. Tuch(14)
    B. Byram (14), J. Norris (10)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    6:58
  2. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(16)
    A. Panarin (31)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    9:34
  3. BUF
    J. Zucker(10)PPG
    R. Dahlin (25), T. Thompson (18)
    deflectedxG 0.49win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-1
    12:34

3rd period

  1. NYR
    V. Trocheck(11)
    J. Miller (13), A. Panarin (32)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    0:51
  2. BUF
    M. Samuelsson(7)SHG
    R. McLeod (16)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +22 ptsVideo
    4-2
    14:38
  3. BUF
    R. McLeod(9)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.90win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-2
    18:30

Penalties

BUF 6 PIM·NYR 4 PIM

2nd

  • 6:58NYRVincent Trocheck · Abuse of officials2 min
  • 11:53NYRMatthew Robertson · Holdingdrawn by Zach Benson2 min
  • 18:28BUFNoah Ostlund · Trippingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min

3rd

  • 14:24BUFPeyton Krebs · High sticking double minordrawn by Vincent Trocheck4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalBUF goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Mattias Samuelsson, 3rd 14:38 — BUF 70% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.27V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.15M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.14W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.13G. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.13J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.11J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.10M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.10S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.10M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.09A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.09B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07G. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.07W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.06G. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rempe · On goal · xG 0.06T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.06W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.05A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.05V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.04S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.04A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.03V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.03B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.03A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.02W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.02S. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.02V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.02V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.01S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.00M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR2 G · 2.7 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsNYR
4.34 G
All situations
2 G2.7
1.82 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
1.21 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.01 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF57%43%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.02 – 2.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsNYR
21
Shots on goal
32
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
32
20
Blocked shots
12
17
Giveaways
13
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23M. SamuelssonD112+110.07240—23:56
4B. ByramD011+300.01020—23:45
26R. DahlinD011-230.10130—23:41
25O. PowerD000+100.01010—22:15
71R. McLeodC112+221.330005317:30
89A. TuchR101+210.15000—17:30
72T. ThompsonC011-120.481102916:39
91J. DoanR101020.31300—16:09
6Z. BensonL000010.0501010016:04
17J. ZuckerL112+230.94100—15:00
22J. QuinnR000030.47000—14:12
12J. GreenwayL000000.05210—13:49
9J. NorrisC011+210.181105713:27
86N. OstlundC000000.00012012:59
73Z. MetsaD000010.02020—12:39
29B. MalenstynL000-100.00120—12:01
19P. KrebsC000-110.104142511:29
78J. BrysonD000+100.00000—10:55
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
92C. Ellis(W)32302.9382.72+0.7260:00

Season series

BUF leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).