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Golden Knights at Canucks
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV SCRIPPS, TVAS·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Vancouver Canucks 2-1. The Canucks scored first; the Golden Knights answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Smith's goal at 12:13 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 48% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.8 to 1.5; shots on goal were VGK 29, VAN 11. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 10 of 11 (.909); Nikita Tolopilo stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Smith (1 G), 2. Nikita Tolopilo (27 saves, .931), 3. Brayden McNabb (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    C. Smith1 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    N. Tolopilo27 saves, .931
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    B. McNabb1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK01111216229
VANVAN021504111

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.04win prob +19 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:50
  2. VGK
    snapxG 0.01win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:46

3rd period

  1. VGK
    N. Dowd (15)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +36 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:13

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·VAN 2 PIM

1st

  • 9:27VANCurtis Douglas · Cross checkingdrawn by Cole Smith2 min

2nd

  • 5:49VGKColton Sissons · High stickingdrawn by Zeev Buium2 min

3rd

  • 18:19VGKRasmus Andersson · Interferencedrawn by Marco Rossi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalVGK goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Cole Smith, 3rd 12:13 — VGK 48% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.18A. Räty · Missed · xG 0.13M. Sasson · Missed · xG 0.12A. Räty · Missed · xG 0.11J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.11D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.10C. Douglas · Missed · xG 0.10E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.08D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.08E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.06F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.06F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hoglander · Missed · xG 0.05A. Räty · On goal · xG 0.05M. Sasson · Goal · xG 0.04L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Willander · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.01V. Mancini · On goal · xG 0.01
VAN1 G · 1.5 xG · 23 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsVAN
3.82 G
All situations
1 G1.5
3.72 G
Even strength
1 G0.9
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK86%14%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.78 – 1.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsVAN
29
Shots on goal
11
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
22
Hits
27
20
Blocked shots
16
11
Giveaways
9
1
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
15N. HanifinD000010.04020—22:27
4R. AnderssonD000000.10132—22:22
3B. McNabbD101+210.04130—21:23
27S. TheodoreD011+210.09010—20:37
93M. MarnerR000060.440003318:46
9J. EichelC000030.410006117:58
5J. LauzonD000-120.01120—17:35
21B. HowdenC000010.354006717:17
61M. StoneR000020.45110—17:10
16P. DorofeyevR000020.54010—17:05
49I. BarbashevL000010.06100—15:28
17B. HuttonD000-100.00030—13:53
20B. SaadL011+130.53100—13:25
10C. SissonsC000020.39412013:22
48T. HertlC000+100.001306013:16
26N. DowdC011020.110005812:55
55K. KolesarR000+110.1630010012:07
22C. SmithR101010.09400—09:30
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(W)11101.9091.49+0.4959:43

Season series

VGK leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).