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Canucks at Golden Knights
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV SCRIPPS, SNP·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-2. The Canucks scored first; the Golden Knights answered. The Golden Knights led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Reilly Smith's goal at 18:34 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.1 to 1.6; shots on goal were VAN 24, VGK 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Adin Hill stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Reilly Smith (1 G), 2. Shea Theodore (1 G), 3. Rasmus Andersson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    R. Smith1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    S. Theodore1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    R. Andersson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN1711007224
VGKVGK01031519434

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:19

2nd period

  1. VGK
    T. Hertl (31), N. Hanifin (21)
    wristxG 0.50win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:48
  2. VAN
    B. Boeser(18)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:17
  3. VGK
    snapxG 0.12win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:17
  4. VGK
    wristxG 0.08win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-3
    18:34

3rd period

  1. VGK
    J. Lauzon (11), N. Dowd (14)
    backhandxG 0.34win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:50

Penalties

VAN 11 PIM·VGK 9 PIM

1st

  • 8:18VANLiam Ohgren · Slashingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min

2nd

  • 1:59VANVictor Mancini · Trippingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 11:54VGKKeegan Kolesar · Holdingdrawn by Zeev Buium2 min
  • 12:43VANElias Pettersson · Roughingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min
  • 12:43VGKJeremy Lauzon · Roughingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 12:43VANTeddy Blueger · Fightingdrawn by Colton Sissons5 min
  • 12:43VGKColton Sissons · Fightingdrawn by Teddy Blueger5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalVAN goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Reilly Smith, 2nd 18:34 — VGK 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Andersson · Goal · xG 0.50J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.42C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.34J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.22P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.18T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.18R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.16M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.13S. Theodore · Goal · xG 0.12S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.11M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.10P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.10B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.09P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.09R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.08P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.08M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.08T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.08T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.08P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.07R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.07R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.06T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.05R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.04I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02K. Korczak · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.01P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.00N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.00R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK4 G · 4.1 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsVGK
1.62 G
All situations
3 G4.1
1.31 G
Even strength
3 G3.1
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN19%81%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.56 – 3.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsVGK
24
Shots on goal
34
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/1
Power play
0/2
11
Penalty minutes
9
25
Hits
33
15
Blocked shots
4
6
Giveaways
10
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD011-110.00200—28:00
29M. PetterssonD000000.00010—25:22
5T. WillanderD000010.01240—22:05
24Z. BuiumD000-100.03000—20:24
53T. BluegerC000-110.013256918:14
40E. PetterssonC011-140.082104018:12
93M. RossiC000-110.170002517:50
6B. BoeserR101-230.33310—17:36
74J. DeBruskL011-110.10010—16:53
18D. O'ConnorL000-230.20210—16:43
94L. KarlssonC000-120.12110016:14
92L. OhgrenL000-110.07002—14:54
91E. KaneL101050.41100—14:42
25E. PetterssonD000-200.00302—13:53
54A. RätyC000000.002108611:08
90V. ManciniD000-200.00112—10:54
21N. HoglanderL000010.04110—08:53
42C. DouglasC000000.00200005:19
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(L)33303.9093.37+0.3758:44

Season series

VGK leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).