Skip to content
Flames at Stars
NHL

Calgary Flames at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
3
Dallas Stars
▸4
Final/OTTV Victory+, SNW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Calgary Flames 4-3 in overtime, Wyatt Johnston scoring at 3:39. The Stars came back from two goals down. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Wyatt Johnston's goal at 3:39 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 4.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were CGY 20, DAL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Devin Cooley stopped 21 of 25 (.840); Jake Oettinger stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Wyatt Johnston (2 G), 2. Jason Robertson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Adam Klapka (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    W. Johnston2 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Robertson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    A. Klapka2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CGYCGY04281800320
DALDAL021627110425

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Hryckowian(13)
    T. Harley (28), N. Lundkvist (8)
    snapxG 0.30win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:30
  2. CGY
    J. Farabee(19)
    A. Klapka (11), O. Maatta (11)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:38
  3. CGY
    Y. Sharangovich(15)
    A. Klapka (12), Z. Whitecloud (12)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:52

3rd period

  1. CGY
    Z. Parekh(3)PPG
    M. Coronato (24), M. Gridin (12)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-1
    0:26
  2. DAL
    W. Johnston(42)
    M. Rantanen (53)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:16
  3. DAL
    J. Robertson(41)
    M. Duchene (24), T. Myers (10)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +27 ptsVideo
    3-3
    4:51

Overtime

  1. DAL
    W. Johnston(43)PPG
    J. Robertson (50), M. Heiskanen (54)
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    3:39

Penalties

CGY 10 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:40CGYMatt Coronato · Trippingdrawn by Wyatt Johnston2 min
  • 10:12CGYMartin Pospisil · High stickingdrawn by Lian Bichsel2 min
  • 17:48DALIlya Lyubushkin · Hookingdrawn by Aydar Suniev2 min

2nd

  • 19:20DALTyler Myers · Trippingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

3rd

  • 7:54CGYConnor Zary · Holdingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 12:40DALserved by A. Erne · Too many men on the ice2 min

OT

  • 0:48CGYRyan Strome · High sticking double minordrawn by Jason Robertson4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalCGY goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Wyatt Johnston, OT 3:39 — DAL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Hryckowian · Goal · xG 0.30W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.29W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.25J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.25W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.22M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.18M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.17W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.16M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.16M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.15W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.13W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.12J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.12J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.11M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.11M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.10J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.09W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.09J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.09J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.09J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.09T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.07M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.06T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.06J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.05M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.05J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.05M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.05T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.04T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.02A. Hyry · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL4 G · 4.1 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsDAL
1.93 G
All situations
4 G4.1
1.72 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.31 G
Power play
1 G2.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY19%81%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.92 – 3.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsDAL
20
Shots on goal
25
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
13
Hits
19
14
Blocked shots
16
22
Giveaways
17
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3O. MaattaD011000.00020—30:00
28Z. WhitecloudD011010.00010—29:52
37Y. KuznetsovD000-110.01150—24:04
20B. ColemanL000-130.43210—22:40
11M. BacklundC000-110.150002921:38
19Z. ParekhD101030.16120—18:50
92M. GridinR011-210.11000—18:11
48H. BrzustewiczD000-100.00020—18:01
27M. CoronatoR011-130.1400210017:17
16M. FrostC000-210.081004115:59
86J. FarabeeL101-130.41000—15:57
17Y. SharangovichC101+110.24000015:49
47C. ZaryC000+200.000026013:48
22R. StromeC000000.001044313:10
36A. SunievL000000.02010—11:16
43A. KlapkaR022+220.20200—09:12
76M. PospisilC000000.00402007:58
7K. BahlD000000.00100—01:15
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1D. Cooley(O)25214.8404.07+0.0763:39

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).