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Seattle Kraken at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV KHN/Prime, KONG·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Seattle Kraken 6-2. The Kraken scored first; the Jets answered. The Jets led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Lambert's goal at 5:59 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 79% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were SEA 24, WPG 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 15 of 18 (.833); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Scheifele (3 A), 2. Jonathan Toews (1 G, 1 A), 3. Kyle Connor (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele3 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    J. Toews1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    K. Connor2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA1130417224
WPGWPG17213311631

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:17
  2. WPG
    J. Toews(10)PPG
    wristxG 0.67win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:39

2nd period

  1. WPG
    G. Vilardi(29)PPG
    snapxG 0.19win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:55
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(37)PPG
    slapxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-3
    12:09

3rd period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    2:28
  2. WPG
    A. Lowry (16), N. Pionk (9)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-4
    5:59
  3. WPG
    snapxG 0.14win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    15:19
  4. WPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.43Video
    2-6
    17:56

Penalties

SEA 6 PIM·WPG 0 PIM

1st

  • 11:52SEABerkly Catton · Holding the stickdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min

2nd

  • 9:17SEAAdam Larsson · High stickingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 11:12SEACale Fleury · Roughingdrawn by Isak Rosen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalSEA goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Brad Lambert, 3rd 5:59 — WPG 79% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Toews · Goal · xG 0.67V. Namestnikov · Goal · xG 0.43M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.21G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.21G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.19M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.16A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.16M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.15A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.15K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.14K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.12A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.11C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.11G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.10G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.09I. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.08A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.07B. Lambert · On goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.06G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.05G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.05M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.05C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.05C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.05B. Lambert · Goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.03A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.03B. Lambert · Missed · xG 0.03C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lambert · Missed · xG 0.02H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.02H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.02D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.02I. Rosen · Missed · xG 0.02D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.01J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.01K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.01V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.01B. Lambert · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.00
WPG6 G · 4.2 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsWPG
2.52 G
All situations
5 G4.2
2.52 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.00 G
Power play
3 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA32%68%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.51 – 3.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsWPG
24
Shots on goal
31
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/0
Power play
3/3
6
Penalty minutes
0
16
Hits
27
10
Blocked shots
11
15
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
41R. EvansD000+100.06010—21:49
62B. MontourD000-120.11210—21:38
6A. LarssonD000020.05212—19:25
55R. LindgrenD000000.05100—19:11
29V. DunnD000-210.05100—19:09
8C. FleuryD000000.02332—18:52
9C. StephensonC000000.170104718:03
20E. TolvanenR000040.44110—17:06
74B. McMannC000030.3820010016:52
7J. EberleR101-140.42000—16:37
17J. SchwartzL000-100.0600010015:38
10M. BeniersC011-110.080003115:21
89F. GaudreauC000+110.140104514:41
26R. WintertonC000020.17300013:38
27B. CattonC000-100.040024512:43
19J. McCannL101030.1300010012:36
78O. Fisker MolgaardC000010.181101712:28
84K. KakkoR011-100.00000—12:26
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)18153.8332.63-0.3733:20
35J. Daccord12102.8331.12-0.8826:05

Season series

SEA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).