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Winnipeg Jets at Seattle Kraken

FinalTV KHN/Prime, KONG·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-3. The Jets scored first; the Kraken answered. The Jets led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Eberle's goal at 7:21 of the third period, which took the Kraken's chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 2.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were WPG 26, SEA 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 13 of 17 (.765), 1.9 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Vince Dunn (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jordan Eberle (2 G), 3. Philipp Grubauer (23 saves, .885).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    V. Dunn1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    SEA
    J. Eberle2 G
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    P. Grubauer23 saves, .885

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG1421309326
SEASEA181535518

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.35win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:17
  2. SEA
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:15

2nd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    3:18
  2. SEA
    wristxG 0.29win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    7:27
  3. WPG
    K. Connor(10)PPG
    slapxG 0.12win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-2
    18:50

3rd period

  1. SEA
    slapxG 0.05win prob +25 ptsVideo
    3-3
    4:11
  2. SEA
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +29 ptsVideo
    3-4
    7:21
  3. SEA
    wristxG 0.78win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-5
    18:25

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·SEA 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:55WPGConnor Hellebuyck · Trippingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min

2nd

  • 15:41WPGGustav Nyquist · Trippingdrawn by Matty Beniers2 min
  • 17:13SEAVince Dunn · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 19:46SEAserved by M. Marchment · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 2:27WPGNino Niederreiter · Holdingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 19:29SEAJamie Oleksiak · Holdingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalWPG goalFinal: SEA 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Eberle, 3rd 7:21 — SEA 52% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.78V. Dunn · Goal · xG 0.29E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.19B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.13M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.13J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.11S. Wright · Missed · xG 0.11S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.08J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.08B. Meyers · On goal · xG 0.08R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.07J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.07E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.07J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.07M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kakko · Goal · xG 0.06R. Winterton · Missed · xG 0.05E. Tolvanen · Goal · xG 0.05S. Wright · Missed · xG 0.05V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.04R. Winterton · On goal · xG 0.03R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.03B. Meyers · Missed · xG 0.02B. Catton · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.00B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.00V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.00J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA5 G · 2.9 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsSEA
2.33 G
All situations
4 G2.9
1.42 G
Even strength
3 G1.3
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG54%46%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.26 – 2.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsSEA
26
Shots on goal
18
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
14
13
Blocked shots
12
14
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD011-320.03020—25:17
4N. PionkD011020.05230—23:38
54D. SambergD000+120.01220—23:04
81K. ConnorL101-320.70100—22:04
55M. ScheifeleC112-220.230005421:17
13G. VilardiC000-330.41000018:59
2D. DeMeloD011-210.02400—18:04
91C. PerfettiC000-220.02100017:59
9A. IafalloL101+120.38110—15:31
19J. ToewsC000-110.080005015:25
17A. LowryC011+100.004206414:17
64L. StanleyD000010.03110—13:49
7V. NamestnikovC000-100.031003313:46
6C. MillerD000030.08110—13:17
62N. NiederreiterR000+100.01102—13:09
70T. PearsonL000+110.06100—09:38
14G. NyquistR000+110.05002—08:59
25P. FordC000010.060105007:59
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)17134.7652.07-1.9358:04

Season series

SEA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).