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Wild at Red Wings
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸5
Detroit Red Wings
4
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Wild led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 18:09 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 50% to 95%. Expected goals were close — MIN 2.7, DET 2.7; shots on goal were MIN 20, DET 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.3 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 15 of 20 (.750), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (3 G), 2. Axel Sandin-Pellikka (1 G, 1 A), 3. Matt Boldy (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov3 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    A. Sandin-Pellikka1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN064717520
DETDET1306315424

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    A. Johansson(3)
    A. Sandin-Pellikka (14), P. Kane (37)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:40

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(41)
    J. Eriksson Ek (30)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    0:18
  2. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(41)
    R. Hartman (18), M. Zuccarello (35)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:25
  3. MIN
    V. Tarasenko(22)
    J. Middleton (14), R. Hartman (19)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    7:03
  4. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(42)
    B. Faber (36)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-1
    12:32

3rd period

  1. DET
    A. Sandin-Pellikka(7)
    D. Larkin (29), L. Raymond (48)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-2
    7:18
  2. DET
    J. Compher(11)
    S. Edvinsson (15), M. Kasper (10)
    tip-inxG 0.31win prob +14 ptsVideo
    4-3
    11:14
  3. DET
    P. Kane(15)
    A. DeBrincat (42), A. Copp (33)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +38 ptsVideo
    4-4
    14:36
  4. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(43)PPG
    M. Boldy (40), M. Zuccarello (36)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +45 ptsVideo
    5-4
    18:09

Penalties

MIN 2 PIM·DET 4 PIM

2nd

  • 2:17MINDanila Yurov · Roughingdrawn by Marco Kasper2 min
  • 4:57DETAxel Sandin-Pellikka · Slashingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min

3rd

  • 16:23DETPatrick Kane · Trippingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalMIN goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, 3rd 18:09 — MIN 50% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.31J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.24J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.20P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.14L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.13P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.13M. Kasper · Missed · xG 0.12J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.10M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.09D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.09L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.07D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.07P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.06M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.06A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.05A. Johansson · Goal · xG 0.05L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.05A. Sandin-Pellikka · Missed · xG 0.05A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.05P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.05M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.05L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.04L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03S. Edvinsson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.03L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.03A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.03E. Finnie · Missed · xG 0.02A. Sandin-Pellikka · Goal · xG 0.02A. Sandin-Pellikka · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bernard-Docker · Missed · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.02M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.01S. Edvinsson · Missed · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.00
DET4 G · 2.7 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsDET
2.75 G
All situations
4 G2.7
1.74 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN44%56%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 2.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsDET
20
Shots on goal
24
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
18
25
Blocked shots
8
13
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD000020.26010—25:05
7B. FaberD011010.02040—23:33
97K. KaprizovL303050.65010—19:53
14J. Eriksson EkC011000.352004119:11
12M. BoldyL112030.15020—19:03
5J. MiddletonD011000.31040—18:15
36M. ZuccarelloR022000.05010—18:11
25J. BrodinD000+220.07020—17:17
46J. SpurgeonD000000.00020—17:00
38R. HartmanR022+110.150003116:00
2J. PetryD000-200.00010—15:43
90M. JohanssonL000+120.06210—14:57
13Y. TreninC000-110.191010013:36
91V. TarasenkoR101020.14100—13:14
47M. McCarronC000000.103205712:28
71N. FolignoL000000.003202512:04
17M. FolignoL000010.01310—11:28
22D. YurovR000-100.161025011:02
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)24204.8332.71-1.2960:00

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).