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Red Wings at Wild
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
3
Minnesota Wild
▸4
Final/OTTV ESPN, SNE·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-3 in overtime, Kirill Kaprizov scoring at 0:45. The Red Wings scored first; the Wild answered. The Red Wings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 0:45 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were DET 34, MIN 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 35 of 39 (.897), 0.9 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mats Zuccarello (2 G, 1 A), 2. Quinn Hughes (3 A), 3. Kirill Kaprizov (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    Q. Hughes3 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DETDET1111151701334
MINMIN11101721011439

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    L. Raymond(16)PPG
    M. Seider (28), D. Larkin (22)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:39
  2. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(26)PPG
    M. Zuccarello (21), Q. Hughes (41)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:19

2nd period

  1. DET
    L. Raymond(17)
    M. Kasper (6)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-1
    16:22

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(7)
    Q. Hughes (42), B. Faber (21)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-2
    0:37
  2. DET
    J. van Riemsdyk(14)
    E. Finnie (11), T. Hamonic (2)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +28 ptsVideo
    3-2
    5:36
  3. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(8)
    R. Hartman (10), K. Kaprizov (35)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +28 ptsVideo
    3-3
    6:11

Overtime

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(27)
    Q. Hughes (43)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    0:45

Penalties

DET 8 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:01MINMarcus Foligno · High stickingdrawn by Emmitt Finnie2 min
  • 16:26DETTravis Hamonic · Hookingdrawn by Danila Yurov2 min

2nd

  • 1:41DETJ.T. Compher · High stickingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min
  • 10:39DETJacob Bernard-Docker · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

3rd

  • 6:33MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Trippingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 10:52DETTravis Hamonic · Trippingdrawn by Danila Yurov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalDET goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, OT 0:45 — MIN 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.21J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.17K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.17R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.16M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.13J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.12Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.11K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.11N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.11V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.11D. Yurov · Missed · xG 0.10M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.10M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.10J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.10D. Jiricek · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.08M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.07B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.06Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.01V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.01M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 3.1 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsMIN
2.33 G
All situations
4 G3.1
2.12 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.11 G
Power play
1 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET36%64%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.26 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsMIN
34
Shots on goal
39
67%
Faceoffs
33%
1/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
18
18
Blocked shots
20
14
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD011-230.03030—27:38
71D. LarkinC011+130.221006523:32
8B. ChiarotD000+140.07230—21:56
20A. JohanssonD000020.09110—20:11
18A. CoppC000-320.310006520:02
25J. Bernard-DockerD000-100.05122—19:14
23L. RaymondL202+130.27000—18:10
93A. DeBrincatR000-330.39110—17:57
92M. KasperC011+100.0620010017:29
52T. HamonicD011000.00244—17:04
88P. KaneR000-230.17100—15:53
27M. RasmussenC000010.160304012:51
44A. Sandin-PellikkaD000+130.09000—12:31
22M. AppletonC000010.0200010012:30
37J. CompherL000+100.000028311:27
85E. SoderblomL000030.15310—10:12
21J. van RiemsdykL101+110.13000—09:16
58E. FinnieC011+120.08100007:29
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(O)39354.8973.06-0.9460:45

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).