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Toronto Maple Leafs at Los Angeles Kings

Final/OTTV FDSNSC, SNO·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 7-6 in overtime, Quinton Byfield scoring at 2:33. The Kings came back from two goals down. The Maple Leafs led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Quinton Byfield's goal at 2:33 of overtime, which took the Kings' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 4.5 to 2.4; shots on goal were TOR 20, LAK 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Joseph Woll stopped 33 of 40 (.825), 2.5 goals below expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 14 of 20 (.700), 3.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Adrian Kempe (2 G, 2 A), 2. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 2 A), 3. Matthew Knies (2 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kempe2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Panarin1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    M. Knies2 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TORTOR28262501620
LAKLAK0113173814740

Scoring

13 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    M. Domi (24)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:19
  2. TOR
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.23win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    13:42

2nd period

  1. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.37win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:11
  2. LAK
    snapxG 0.20win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    3:55
  3. TOR
    J. Tavares(30)PPG
    wristxG 0.45win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-2
    9:18
  4. LAK
    B. Clarke (31), A. Kempe (36)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-3
    14:53
  5. TOR
    E. Cowan(10)PPG
    J. Tavares (37), M. Knies (41)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-3
    19:47

3rd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.05win prob +28 ptsVideo
    4-4
    5:46
  2. LAK
    T. Ward (4), C. Ceci (8)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +28 ptsVideo
    4-5
    6:14
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    4-6
    7:22
  4. TOR
    wristxG 0.19win prob +13 ptsVideo
    5-6
    9:37
  5. TOR
    wristxG 0.09win prob +35 ptsVideo
    6-6
    13:29

Overtime

  1. LAK
    A. Panarin (53), A. Kempe (37)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +49 ptsVideo
    6-7
    2:33

Penalties

TOR 14 PIM·LAK 12 PIM

1st

  • 3:21TOREaston Cowan · Roughingdrawn by Mikey Anderson2 min
  • 3:21LAKMikey Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Easton Cowan2 min
  • 13:04TORPhilippe Myers · Slashingdrawn by Alex Laferriere2 min
  • 17:01TORMax Domi · Roughingdrawn by Mikey Anderson2 min
  • 17:01TORMax Domi · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Mikey Anderson2 min

2nd

  • 1:48LAKMikey Anderson · High stickingdrawn by Easton Cowan2 min
  • 5:31TORserved by N. Robertson · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:42LAKBrian Dumoulin · Hookingdrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min
  • 9:47LAKJeff Malott · Roughingdrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min
  • 9:47TORDakota Joshua · Roughingdrawn by Jeff Malott2 min
  • 15:36TORMax Domi · Trippingdrawn by Samuel Helenius2 min
  • 19:31LAKJoel Armia · Holdingdrawn by Matias Maccelli2 min
  • 19:47LAKScott Laughton · Cross checkingdrawn by Matthew Knies2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalTOR goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Quinton Byfield, OT 2:33 — LAK 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Q. Byfield · Goal · xG 0.37A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.20A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.16A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.15A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.12A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.12A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.12A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.11Q. Byfield · Goal · xG 0.11A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.11A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.11A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.10A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.10J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.09A. Laferriere · Goal · xG 0.09A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.09A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.09A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.09Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.08T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.08A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.08J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.08A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.08A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.08A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.08D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.07A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.07A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.07A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.07A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.07Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.06T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.05S. Helenius · Goal · xG 0.05A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.05A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.05A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.04S. Helenius · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.04D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.04A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.03M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Wright · On goal · xG 0.02A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.02A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.02J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.02A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.02T. Ward · On goal · xG 0.02B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.02S. Helenius · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Clarke · Missed · xG 0.01D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.00J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK7 G · 4.5 xG · 67 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsLAK
2.46 G
All situations
7 G4.5
1.23 G
Even strength
7 G2.8
1.02 G
Power play
0 G1.6
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR19%81%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.30 – 4.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsLAK
20
Shots on goal
40
39%
Faceoffs
61%
2/4
Power play
0/5
14
Penalty minutes
12
27
Hits
18
16
Blocked shots
12
11
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22J. McCabeD000-220.04020—23:45
88W. NylanderR011-430.35000—23:24
44M. RiellyD000000.02040—22:18
28T. StecherD000-200.06140—21:10
91J. TavaresC123-110.452005920:21
23M. KniesL224+120.27300—19:44
25B. CarloD000010.08130—19:15
53E. CowanR101-330.26302—18:06
51P. MyersD000+100.03112—16:41
19C. JarnkrokC000-100.001106315:51
29B. GroulxC000+110.002001815:48
2S. BenoitD000-200.01400—14:59
11M. DomiC011-120.191162214:19
63M. MaccelliL011-110.05000—11:44
81D. JoshuaC011+100.00102010:38
18S. LorentzC101-120.27300010:33
89N. RobertsonL101020.31100—10:14
61M. PezzettaL000-100.00300—05:05
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60J. Woll(O)40337.8254.45-2.5562:17

Season series

LAK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).