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Los Angeles Kings at Toronto Maple Leafs

Final/OTTV FDSNW, SNO·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3 in overtime, Quinton Byfield scoring at 0:35. The Kings came back from two goals down. The Maple Leafs led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Quinton Byfield's goal at 0:35 of overtime, which took the Kings' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.9 to 2.0; shots on goal were LAK 37, TOR 15. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 12 of 15 (.800), 1.0 goals below expected; Dennis Hildeby stopped 33 of 37 (.892). Three stars: 1. Quinton Byfield (1 G, 1 A), 2. John Tavares (2 G), 3. Alex Laferriere (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    Q. Byfield1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    J. Tavares2 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Laferriere1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
LAKLAK0921111611437
TORTOR24140700315

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.18win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:06
  2. TOR
    wristxG 0.21win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    16:39

2nd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    6:51
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.14win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-2
    15:41
  3. TOR
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-3
    17:16

3rd period

  1. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +35 ptsVideo
    3-3
    13:10

Overtime

  1. LAK
    slapxG 0.13win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    0:35

Penalties

LAK 2 PIM·TOR 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:18TORJohn Tavares · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 16:47TORWilliam Nylander · Hookingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min

2nd

  • 2:51LAKCorey Perry · Slashingdrawn by Matias Maccelli2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalLAK goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Quinton Byfield, OT 0:35 — LAK 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.27J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.21N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.19B. McMann · Goal · xG 0.18B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.16J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.15M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.14J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.13W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.08M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.07O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.05J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.05M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.05J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.04M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.03N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.02N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.02J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.00D. Mermis · Missed · xG 0.00B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.00N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.00B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR3 G · 2.0 xG · 26 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsTOR
3.94 G
All situations
3 G2.0
2.74 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
1.20 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK78%22%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.70 – 1.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsTOR
37
Shots on goal
15
28%
Faceoffs
72%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
14
Hits
26
7
Blocked shots
20
18
Giveaways
18
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD022+200.02120—21:22
92B. ClarkeD011010.01000—20:50
22K. FialaL101030.76000—20:31
55Q. ByfieldR112+230.491001019:41
9A. KempeR011040.46010—18:48
11A. KopitarC000-110.050104418:34
2B. DumoulinD011000.00000—18:32
44M. AndersonD011+110.02010—17:43
5C. CeciD011-100.00010—17:25
6J. EdmundsonD000-110.07000—17:22
14A. LaferriereR101+150.244005016:36
10C. PerryR000050.62012—16:08
12T. MooreL000+130.03000—15:43
24P. DanaultC000030.540002915:42
40J. ArmiaR000-100.00100—13:31
37W. FoegeleL101+120.22300—13:16
15A. TurcotteC000020.170001709:01
39J. MalottL000-130.16400—09:00
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(W)15123.8001.99-1.0160:35

Season series

LAK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).