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Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers

FinalTV ABC, SN·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabe Perreault's goal at 15:59 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals were close — DET 3.5, NYR 3.5; shots on goal were DET 33, NYR 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. John Gibson stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 0.6 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Quick (32 saves, .970), 2. Gabe Perreault (3 G), 3. Jaroslav Chmelar (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    J. Quick32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    NYR
    G. Perreault3 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    J. Chmelar1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0806119133
NYRNYR161727420

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:19

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:59

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.24win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-3
    7:13
  2. NYR
    J. Miller (32), A. Fox (40)
    wristxG 0.72Video
    0-4
    18:16
  3. DET
    wristxG 0.12Video
    1-4
    19:27

Penalties

DET 9 PIM·NYR 13 PIM

1st

  • 3:54DETAndrew Copp · Trippingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
  • 15:13NYRJ.T. Miller · Interferencedrawn by J.T. Compher2 min

2nd

  • 13:04NYRDrew Fortescue · Slashingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min

3rd

  • 5:44DETBen Chiarot · High stickingdrawn by Will Cuylle2 min
  • 5:44NYRWill Cuylle · Fightingdrawn by David Perron5 min
  • 5:44DETBen Chiarot · Fightingdrawn by Will Cuylle5 min
  • 8:19NYRConor Sheary · High stickingdrawn by Albert Johansson2 min
  • 14:15NYRNoah Laba · High stickingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalDET goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Gabe Perreault, 2nd 15:59 — NYR 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Perreault · Goal · xG 0.72W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.44G. Perreault · Goal · xG 0.24G. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.24A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.19J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.18M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.16M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.15J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.13G. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.10G. Perreault · Goal · xG 0.10A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.10J. Chmelar · Goal · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.08A. Sykora · Missed · xG 0.08G. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.06A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.06C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.05G. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.04W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.04J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.03J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.03J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.02C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.02V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01
NYR4 G · 3.5 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNYR
3.51 G
All situations
3 G3.5
2.01 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
1.50 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET68%32%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.48 – 2.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNYR
33
Shots on goal
20
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/4
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
13
14
Hits
23
15
Blocked shots
17
10
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000-120.17210—28:04
88P. KaneR000-120.19000—23:06
93A. DeBrincatR000-110.26000—22:22
77S. EdvinssonD000000.00130—20:59
71D. LarkinC000-180.720005220:45
18A. CoppC000020.230224420:30
23L. RaymondL000-220.27110—19:53
58E. FinnieC011+110.213003318:28
44A. Sandin-PellikkaD000010.09000—16:51
8B. ChiarotD000-110.03237—15:43
20A. JohanssonD000-110.00000—15:23
37J. CompherL000-110.091102014:54
57D. PerronL101050.65100—13:46
25J. Bernard-DockerD000000.00010—13:07
21J. van RiemsdykL011010.23000—11:39
92M. KasperC000-130.291103310:07
27M. RasmussenC000-110.02020009:31
65D. ShineR000-110.08200—05:50
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)19163.8422.37-0.6355:33

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).