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Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers

FinalTV NHLN, FDSNDET·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the New York Rangers 2-1. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lucas Raymond's goal at 16:13 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 48% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 5.2 to 2.3; shots on goal were DET 42, NYR 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 40 of 42 (.952), 2.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Lucas Raymond (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jonathan Quick (40 saves, .952), 3. Cam Talbot (18 saves, .947).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    L. Raymond1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    J. Quick40 saves, .952
  3. ★★★
    DET
    C. Talbot18 saves, .947

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET09119114242
NYRNYR0611003119

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.69win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:30
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.31win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:59

3rd period

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.17win prob +42 ptsVideo
    2-1
    16:13

Penalties

DET 14 PIM·NYR 22 PIM

1st

  • 18:41DETMoritz Seider · Interferencedrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

2nd

  • 4:04NYRVladislav Gavrikov · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 7:54NYRNoah Laba · Hookingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
  • 10:12DETMoritz Seider · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:54NYRSam Carrick · Holding the stickdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min

3rd

  • 6:39NYRWill Cuylle · Trippingdrawn by Simon Edvinsson2 min
  • 8:38NYRNoah Laba · Slashingdrawn by Emmitt Finnie2 min
  • 20:00NYRJonathan Quick · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
  • 20:00DETMason Appleton · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00NYRJonathan Quick · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalDET goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Lucas Raymond, 3rd 16:13 — DET 48% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.31M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.16A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.15M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.14A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.14M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.13A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.12M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.12J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.10C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.10J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.08V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.07J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.07J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.06A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.06N. Laba · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.05N. Laba · On goal · xG 0.05A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.04J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.03A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.02J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.02N. Laba · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01S. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.00A. Edstrom · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR1 G · 2.3 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNYR
5.22 G
All situations
1 G2.3
1.81 G
Even strength
0 G1.3
2.61 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET81%19%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.41 – 2.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNYR
42
Shots on goal
19
60%
Faceoffs
40%
1/5
Power play
1/2
14
Penalty minutes
22
23
Hits
26
21
Blocked shots
18
16
Giveaways
19
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77S. EdvinssonD000020.79250—22:33
53M. SeiderD011020.08234—22:22
71D. LarkinC011+170.692005921:49
88P. KaneR011070.78100—20:51
23L. RaymondL112+170.75000—20:22
93A. DeBrincatR101+140.9820010020:00
44A. Sandin-PellikkaD000+100.15000—19:55
8B. ChiarotD000+110.01230—19:09
58E. FinnieC000000.00310017:56
37J. CompherL000020.091007016:24
52T. HamonicD000010.02120—13:49
18A. CoppC000030.300202513:46
20A. JohanssonD000000.00010—12:43
27M. RasmussenC000010.2211010012:37
29N. DanielsonC000010.12010011:45
21J. van RiemsdykL000010.03010—10:40
22M. AppletonC000020.150010010:06
92M. KasperC000010.0661010009:47
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(W)19181.9472.32+1.3259:39

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).