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Blues at Ducks
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸6
Anaheim Ducks
2
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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Anaheim Ducks 6-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Blues led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pius Suter's goal at 3:08 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals were close — STL 3.7, ANA 3.6; shots on goal were STL 29, ANA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 23 of 29 (.793), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Philip Broberg (2 A), 2. Robert Thomas (1 G, 2 A), 3. Ryan Poehling (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    P. Broberg2 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    R. Poehling1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL3132818629
ANAANA2809010227

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    R. Poehling(11)
    M. McTavish (21), O. Zellweger (15)
    slapxG 0.16win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:51
  2. STL
    R. Thomas(18)
    P. Broberg (24), C. Parayko (14)
    snapxG 0.26win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:24
  3. STL
    D. Holloway(18)PPG
    J. Neighbours (17), R. Thomas (34)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:18
  4. ANA
    J. Viel(3)
    R. Poehling (23), D. Helleson (13)
    wristxG 0.38win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:01
  5. STL
    J. Berggren(8)
    P. Suter (14)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-2
    18:44

2nd period

  1. STL
    P. Suter(13)
    T. Tucker (11), J. Neighbours (18)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    3:08
  2. STL
    C. Parayko(2)
    D. Dvorsky (8), J. Kyrou (24)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +9 ptsVideo
    5-2
    16:50

3rd period

  1. STL
    D. Holloway(19)PPG
    R. Thomas (35), P. Broberg (25)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +2 ptsVideo
    6-2
    1:22

Penalties

STL 8 PIM·ANA 10 PIM

1st

  • 10:18ANAAlex Killorn · Slashingdrawn by Otto Stenberg2 min

2nd

  • 3:46STLLogan Mailloux · Roughingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
  • 3:46ANAJohn Carlson · Cross checkingdrawn by Logan Mailloux2 min
  • 5:51ANATroy Terry · Slashingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
  • 8:50STLOskar Sundqvist · Slashingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min

3rd

  • 0:18ANABeckett Sennecke · Hookingdrawn by Logan Mailloux2 min
  • 2:15STLDalibor Dvorsky · Hookingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 13:47STLJimmy Snuggerud · Hookingdrawn by Leo Carlsson2 min
  • 16:14ANAMason McTavish · Hookingdrawn by Theo Lindstein2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalSTL goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Pius Suter, 2nd 3:08 — STL 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.41J. Viel · Goal · xG 0.38R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.26T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.21L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.20R. Poehling · Goal · xG 0.16J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.16M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.14F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.14B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.13T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.12M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.10T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.10M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.09J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.08J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.07M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.07J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.07T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.06B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.05L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.05J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.05L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.04R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.03T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.03R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.03J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02N. Gaucher · On goal · xG 0.02O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.01L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.01L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 3.6 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsANA
3.76 G
All situations
2 G3.6
3.14 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.62 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL51%49%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.58 – 3.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsANA
29
Shots on goal
27
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/4
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
19
Hits
25
14
Blocked shots
10
16
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6P. BrobergD022+110.09100—23:04
55C. ParaykoD112+220.17120—22:38
81D. HollowayL202+150.7122010021:07
17C. FowlerD000000.00000—20:19
21J. SnuggerudR000+120.09002—19:32
23L. MaillouxD000+110.06302—19:11
18R. ThomasC123+110.260005418:20
41T. LindsteinD000020.06010—17:01
63J. NeighboursL022+210.07010—15:59
22P. SuterC112+210.201005015:41
54D. DvorskyR011+110.500125014:51
92J. DrouinL000+120.3402010014:14
29J. BerggrenR101+230.2500010013:52
25J. KyrouR011+150.42110—13:06
75T. TuckerD011000.00210—12:55
28O. StenbergC000-210.20110010:30
70O. SundqvistC000-200.001123610:08
26N. WalkerL000-210.25610—09:58
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Hofer(W)27252.9263.58+1.5859:34

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).