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Ducks at Blues
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
▸4
St. Louis Blues
1
FinalTV FDSNMW, Victory+·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the St. Louis Blues 4-1. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leo Carlsson's goal at 5:58 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 75% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were ANA 26, STL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Joel Hofer stopped 19 of 20 (.950). Three stars: 1. Pavel Mintyukov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ville Husso (21 saves, .955), 3. Leo Carlsson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    P. Mintyukov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    V. Husso21 saves, .955
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    L. Carlsson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA21001026426
STLSTL190409122

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    M. McTavish(6)
    B. Sennecke (13)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:33
  2. STL
    J. Kyrou(8)
    R. Thomas (13), J. Neighbours (4)
    snapxG 0.26win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:53
  3. ANA
    P. Mintyukov(2)
    I. Moore (2)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:24

3rd period

  1. ANA
    L. Carlsson(14)
    R. Gudas (3), P. Mintyukov (4)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    5:58
  2. ANA
    C. Kreider(13)EN
    L. Carlsson (22)
    wristxG 0.71win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    17:23

Penalties

ANA 12 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:34STLOskar Sundqvist · High stickingdrawn by Ross Johnston2 min
  • 8:14ANARoss Johnston · Trippingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 19:23ANAMason McTavish · Interferencedrawn by Philip Broberg2 min

2nd

  • 2:07ANATroy Terry · High stickingdrawn by Philip Broberg2 min
  • 2:25STLOskar Sundqvist · Slashingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 7:03STLDalibor Dvorsky · Slashingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 13:06ANAFrank Vatrano · Trippingdrawn by Joel Hofer2 min

3rd

  • 7:46ANAAlex Killorn · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Kessel2 min
  • 10:38ANACutter Gauthier · Trippingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalANA goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Leo Carlsson, 3rd 5:58 — ANA 75% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.35R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.27J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.26J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.22P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.19P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.18P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.14J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.14P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.11J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.11P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.10P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.08D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.07J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.07D. Dvorsky · Missed · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.06P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.06R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.06J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.06D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.05P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.05R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.05R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.03N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.00
STL1 G · 3.1 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsSTL
2.43 G
All situations
1 G3.1
1.33 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.20 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA25%75%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.66 – 3.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsSTL
26
Shots on goal
22
35%
Faceoffs
65%
0/3
Power play
0/6
12
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
15
22
Blocked shots
8
17
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD000+110.02220—20:58
98P. MintyukovD112+230.06020—20:42
65J. TroubaD000010.01110—19:49
14D. HellesonD000+120.03020—19:23
91L. CarlssonC112+110.180004617:39
20C. KreiderL101+120.89030—17:34
61C. GauthierL000+220.24102—17:24
7R. GudasD011+200.01430—17:19
19T. TerryR000+130.10002—16:50
17A. KillornL000010.000123316:02
25R. PoehlingC000020.160403615:42
77F. VatranoR000020.30212—15:07
45B. SenneckeR011+220.15000—14:58
23M. McTavishC101+240.210222914:17
51O. ZellwegerD000000.01000—11:59
24J. HarkinsC000000.003104311:50
74I. MooreD011000.00100—11:50
44R. JohnstonL000000.00302—08:37
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33V. Husso(W)22211.9553.07+2.0760:00

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).