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Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders

FinalTV NHLN, NBCSP+·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the New York Islanders 4-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Bump's goal at 15:01 of the first period, which took the Flyers' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 4.4 to 2.2; shots on goal were PHI 21, NYI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Matvei Michkov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Alex Bump (1 G, 1 A), 3. Travis Sanheim (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    M. Michkov1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    A. Bump1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    T. Sanheim1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI2121613421
NYINYI0211208122

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:54
  2. PHI
    M. Michkov (25), N. Cates (26)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    15:01

2nd period

  1. PHI
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    2:52
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.14win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-1
    15:37

3rd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.06win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-1
    9:16

Penalties

PHI 6 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:43NYIAdam Pelech · Hookingdrawn by Tyson Foerster2 min
  • 15:09NYIMarc Gatcomb · High stickingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min

2nd

  • 3:54PHILuke Glendening · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Schaefer2 min
  • 12:50PHITravis Konecny · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min

3rd

  • 2:00PHIMatvei Michkov · Interferencedrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalPHI goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Bump, 1st 15:01 — PHI 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.28B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.18E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.15J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.14M. Gatcomb · Missed · xG 0.13A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.13S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.12K. MacLean · On goal · xG 0.11B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.09S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.08B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.07M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.07J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.07M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.06R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.06M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.06E. Heineman · Missed · xG 0.05R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.04M. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.03S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.03M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.03A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.03M. Gatcomb · On goal · xG 0.02S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.02C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.01M. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.00M. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.00A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI1 G · 2.2 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsNYI
4.44 G
All situations
1 G2.2
1.44 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
1.10 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI54%46%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 2.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsNYI
21
Shots on goal
22
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
26
23
Blocked shots
10
13
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD112+330.09020—24:36
8C. YorkD000+100.02220—23:11
55R. RistolainenD000+300.10140—22:02
14S. CouturierC000020.144105421:08
9J. DrysdaleD000010.06000—18:55
74O. TippettR101030.78320—17:33
24N. SeelerD000000.00140—17:26
22C. DvorakC000030.260203717:18
27N. CatesL011+310.013004416:06
11T. KonecnyR000010.71112—15:18
94P. MartoneR000010.38200—15:13
71T. FoersterR000020.74010—15:06
41L. GlendeningC000000.002124215:03
19G. HathawayR000000.00410—13:03
39M. MichkovR123+330.19002—11:43
46T. ZegrasC000000.420003311:03
47N. JuulsenD000-100.00200—10:07
20A. BumpL112+310.50020—09:09
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(W)22211.9552.23+1.2360:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).