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New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSP, MSGSN·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Barzal's goal at 5:41 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.2 to 1.4; shots on goal were NYI 23, PHI 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Samuel Ersson stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ilya Sorokin (21 saves, 1.000), 2. Mathew Barzal (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin21 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYI
    M. Barzal1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    J. Pageau2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI172719423
PHIPHI070806021

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    J. Pageau(9)SHG
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    14:29

2nd period

  1. NYI
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    5:41
  2. NYI
    slapxG 0.09win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-0
    12:50

3rd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.12Video
    4-0
    13:38

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·PHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:12NYIMaxim Tsyplakov · Hookingdrawn by Noah Cates2 min
  • 11:03PHINoah Cates · Holdingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 14:14NYIMarc Gatcomb · Holdingdrawn by Emil Andrae2 min

2nd

  • 2:30NYIAdam Boqvist · High stickingdrawn by Matvei Michkov2 min
  • 3:59PHIOwen Tippett · Cross checkingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 3:59NYIScott Mayfield · Slashingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
  • 11:09PHICam York · Trippingdrawn by Kyle MacLean2 min

3rd

  • 6:59PHIOwen Tippett · High stickingdrawn by Matthew Schaefer2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNYI goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Mathew Barzal, 2nd 5:41 — NYI 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.20N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.18O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.17O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.16T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.15O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.14C. York · On goal · xG 0.13C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.12C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.10D. Barkey · On goal · xG 0.10N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.09M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.06C. York · On goal · xG 0.06C. York · Missed · xG 0.06C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.05C. York · Missed · xG 0.05T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.04O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.04N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.03M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.02C. York · On goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.02N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.01C. York · On goal · xG 0.01M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.01C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI0 G · 2.2 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsPHI
1.44 G
All situations
0 G2.2
0.62 G
Even strength
0 G1.1
0.71 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 60 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI34%66%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.37 – 2.14

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsPHI
23
Shots on goal
21
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
23
11
Blocked shots
10
11
Giveaways
16
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3A. PelechD011+200.02010—24:09
77T. DeAngeloD101+270.19030—22:32
48M. SchaeferD000010.00110—22:19
24S. MayfieldD000+100.01112—20:51
14B. HorvatC000010.032003519:17
13M. BarzalC112+110.070105017:29
51E. HeinemanL000000.07110—17:15
11A. DuclairL022+110.02000—16:02
53C. CizikasC011+120.010106715:36
49M. ShabanovR000000.00000—14:51
29J. DrouinL000+130.110005714:48
34A. BoqvistD000000.00112—14:17
27A. LeeL011+130.47000—13:54
44J. PageauC202+220.290107713:30
16M. GatcombC000010.03302012:39
36I. GeorgeD011+100.02100—12:39
32K. MacLeanC000000.0030010012:12
7M. TsyplakovR011+110.06202—10:04
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)212101.0002.15+2.1559:36

Season series

PHI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).