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Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers

FinalTV NESN, SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Boston Bruins 2-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Fraser Minten's goal at 19:33 of the first period, which took the Bruins' chances from 17% to 32%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.9 to 3.4; shots on goal were BOS 29, FLA 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (28 saves, .966), 2. Sam Bennett (1 G), 3. Jeremy Swayman (22 saves, .917).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bennett1 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    J. Swayman22 saves, .917

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS1905015129
FLAFLA2701205224

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:20
  2. FLA
    snapxG 0.21win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    7:39
  3. BOS
    snapxG 0.38win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:33

Penalties

BOS 2 PIM·FLA 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:52FLAMackie Samoskevich · Slashingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

3rd

  • 3:37BOSDavid Pastrnak · High stickingdrawn by Nolan Foote2 min
  • 16:39FLAA.J. Greer · Trippingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalBOS goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Fraser Minten, 1st 19:33 — BOS 17% → 32%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.52A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.42M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.34S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.21C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.20M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.19J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.18S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.17S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.17N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.16M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.14A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.11J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.10M. Samoskevich · Goal · xG 0.09N. Foote · On goal · xG 0.09N. Foote · On goal · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.07M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.06J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.06M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.06S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.04E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.01D. Sebrango · Missed · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.00M. Hovorka · Missed · xG 0.00G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.00S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA2 G · 3.9 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsFLA
3.41 G
All situations
2 G3.9
2.61 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS55%45%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.20 – 2.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsFLA
29
Shots on goal
24
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
22
18
Blocked shots
18
21
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000+120.13120—27:37
88D. PastrnakR011050.49002—24:12
28E. LindholmC000010.341105019:53
39M. GeekieC000030.49400018:42
91N. ZadorovD000010.01310—18:35
27H. LindholmD000-230.11120—18:29
18P. ZachaC000-110.272005617:53
26A. PeekeD000030.03200—17:46
45J. AspirotD000+100.05010—17:19
93F. MintenC101020.441308215:16
20H. JokiharjuD000-230.03120—15:14
71V. ArvidssonL000-110.23010—14:37
11C. MittelstadtC000-100.00010014:06
92M. KhusnutdinovC011010.20000013:46
84T. JeannotL000010.21520—12:42
47M. KastelicC000000.2111010012:23
52S. KuralyC000020.160106011:09
75L. ReichelL000000.00000—10:03
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(L)24222.9172.94+0.9458:18

Season series

FLA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).