Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Florida Panthers beat the Boston Bruins 2-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Fraser Minten's goal at 19:33 of the first period, which took the Bruins' chances from 17% to 32%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.9 to 3.4; shots on goal were BOS 29, FLA 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (28 saves, .966), 2. Sam Bennett (1 G), 3. Jeremy Swayman (22 saves, .917).
Three stars
- ★S. Bobrovsky28 saves, .966

- ★★S. Bennett1 G

- ★★★J. Swayman22 saves, .917

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
0-14:20
0-27:39
1-219:33
Penalties
1st
- 14:52
Mackie Samoskevich · Slashingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
3rd
- 3:37
David Pastrnak · High stickingdrawn by Nolan Foote2 min
- 16:39
A.J. Greer · Trippingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Fraser Minten, 1st 19:33 — 17% → 32%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.41 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.9
- 2.61 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.5
- 0.70 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.20 – 2.92
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 24
- 63%
- Faceoffs
- 37%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 22
- Hits
- 22
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 18
- 21
- Giveaways
- 11
- 4
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
FLA leads 3-0
4@
3Final
4@
5SOFinal
1@
2this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















